LUV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -4.8% | 8.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -2.7% | 12.9% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.94 | +80.2% | -4.5% | -6.2% | +2.0% | -9.7% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -5.0% | -2.8% | -4.1% | +0.5% | +8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.8% | +6.2% | +18.7% | +8.3% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | -0.04 | 0.11 | +401.0% | -2.8% | -6.2% | -4.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 0.51 | 0.43 | -16.2% | -3.6% | -11.2% | -7.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | -0.19 | -0.13 | +32.2% | -3.4% | +3.7% | +8.0% | +17.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +21.5% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -0.5% | -2.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +237.8% | -0.6% | -5.6% | +5.4% | +10.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.51 | 0.58 | +14.7% | -2.5% | +5.5% | -6.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | -0.34 | -0.36 | -7.1% | -8.3% | -7.0% | -3.1% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.