LUV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 5.4% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.7% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -1.3% | 7.4% | 38% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.94 | +80.2% | -4.5% | -6.2% | +2.0% | -9.7% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -5.0% | -2.8% | -4.1% | +0.5% | +8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.8% | +6.2% | +18.7% | +8.3% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | -0.04 | 0.11 | +401.0% | -2.8% | -6.2% | -4.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 0.51 | 0.43 | -16.2% | -3.6% | -11.2% | -7.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | -0.19 | -0.13 | +32.2% | -3.4% | +3.7% | +8.0% | +17.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +21.5% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -0.5% | -2.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +237.8% | -0.6% | -5.6% | +5.4% | +10.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.51 | 0.58 | +14.7% | -2.5% | +5.5% | -6.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | -0.34 | -0.36 | -7.1% | -8.3% | -7.0% | -3.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.13 | 0.37 | +176.6% | +4.5% | -2.3% | -0.7% | +12.4% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -3.1% | -0.4% | -0.9% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.10 | 1.09 | -1.1% | -6.7% | -8.9% | -2.3% | -5.5% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | -0.23 | -0.27 | -18.4% | -4.5% | -3.3% | -2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | -0.11 | -0.38 | -242.1% | -2.4% | -3.2% | +3.1% | -6.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +18.1% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +4.7% | +9.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.18 | 1.30 | +10.3% | -5.9% | -6.4% | +1.7% | -1.6% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -0.30 | -0.32 | -5.5% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +106.4% | -1.0% | -2.0% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | -0.27 | -0.23 | +15.9% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -3.8% |
| 2021-07-22 miss | -0.23 | -0.35 | -51.1% | -1.9% | -3.5% | +0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -1.85 | -1.72 | +7.1% | +1.5% | -1.6% | +2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | -1.68 | -1.29 | +23.3% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +10.2% | +30.2% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | -2.24 | -1.99 | +11.4% | +0.7% | +5.2% | -5.6% | +8.6% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -2.75 | -2.67 | +3.0% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -5.6% | +5.8% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | -0.32 | -0.15 | +53.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -11.0% | +9.6% |
| 2020-01-23 miss | 1.09 | 0.98 | -9.7% | -0.9% | +3.6% | +0.8% | -2.3% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.08 | 1.23 | +13.7% | +1.8% | +5.7% | -0.3% | +1.3% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.6% | -2.5% | +0.3% | -7.2% | -7.9% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +13.1% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -4.1% |
| 2019-01-24 beat | 1.08 | 1.17 | +8.4% | +5.4% | +6.3% | +4.7% | -0.5% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.08 | 1.08 | +0.2% | -6.6% | -8.6% | +2.1% | +5.7% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.9% | -0.4% | +8.4% | +0.0% | +7.6% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.5% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.77 | 0.77 | +0.6% | +1.3% | -3.2% | +0.2% | -1.1% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +0.8% | +0.5% | -3.6% | -2.0% | -0.9% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 1.20 | 1.24 | +3.5% | -5.1% | -5.0% | -0.8% | -6.9% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -2.9% | -2.3% | -2.1% | +4.6% | +8.8% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.8% | +3.9% | +9.0% | -2.0% | +8.4% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -8.5% | +3.2% | +23.6% |
| 2016-07-21 miss | 1.21 | 1.19 | -1.4% | -7.0% | -11.2% | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +5.1% | +2.0% | +1.4% | -7.7% | -11.6% |
| 2016-01-21 beat | 0.90 | 0.90 | +0.4% | +1.8% | +0.5% | -8.4% | +3.3% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +2.6% | +3.6% | +7.4% | +3.9% | +7.4% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 1.02 | 1.03 | +0.9% | +7.0% | +3.9% | -0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.4% | +1.2% | +1.0% | -6.2% | -14.8% |
| 2015-01-22 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.1% | +3.9% | +8.4% | +3.6% | -1.5% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.5% | +2.3% | -2.8% | +2.6% | +14.3% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 0.61 | 0.70 | +13.9% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -1.4% | +11.1% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +11.5% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +6.3% |
| 2014-01-23 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +14.8% | +0.9% | -2.4% | -0.1% | +4.3% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.4% | +1.6% | +3.7% | +1.2% | +9.0% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -0.1% | -1.0% | +0.4% | +2.8% | -3.9% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +156.7% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +6.4% |
| 2013-01-24 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +16.4% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 2012-10-18 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +7.0% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +11.9% | +4.0% | -2.9% | -5.1% | -0.2% |
| 2012-04-19 beat | -0.05 | -0.02 | +58.4% | +2.3% | +4.3% | -1.7% | -1.0% |
| 2012-01-19 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +15.7% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| 2011-10-20 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +10.5% | +0.0% | +4.5% | -2.7% | -14.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.