LUV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -1.6% | 5.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | -1.9% | 8.5% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.94 | +80.2% | -4.5% | -6.2% | +2.0% | -9.7% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -5.0% | -2.8% | -4.1% | +0.5% | +8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.8% | +6.2% | +18.7% | +8.3% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | -0.04 | 0.11 | +401.0% | -2.8% | -6.2% | -4.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 0.51 | 0.43 | -16.2% | -3.6% | -11.2% | -7.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | -0.19 | -0.13 | +32.2% | -3.4% | +3.7% | +8.0% | +17.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +21.5% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -0.5% | -2.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +237.8% | -0.6% | -5.6% | +5.4% | +10.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.51 | 0.58 | +14.7% | -2.5% | +5.5% | -6.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | -0.34 | -0.36 | -7.1% | -8.3% | -7.0% | -3.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.13 | 0.37 | +176.6% | +4.5% | -2.3% | -0.7% | +12.4% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -3.1% | -0.4% | -0.9% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.10 | 1.09 | -1.1% | -6.7% | -8.9% | -2.3% | -5.5% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | -0.23 | -0.27 | -18.4% | -4.5% | -3.3% | -2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | -0.11 | -0.38 | -242.1% | -2.4% | -3.2% | +3.1% | -6.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +18.1% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +4.7% | +9.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.18 | 1.30 | +10.3% | -5.9% | -6.4% | +1.7% | -1.6% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -0.30 | -0.32 | -5.5% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +106.4% | -1.0% | -2.0% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | -0.27 | -0.23 | +15.9% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -3.8% |
| 2021-07-22 miss | -0.23 | -0.35 | -51.1% | -1.9% | -3.5% | +0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -1.85 | -1.72 | +7.1% | +1.5% | -1.6% | +2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | -1.68 | -1.29 | +23.3% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +10.2% | +30.2% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | -2.24 | -1.99 | +11.4% | +0.7% | +5.2% | -5.6% | +8.6% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -2.75 | -2.67 | +3.0% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -5.6% | +5.8% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | -0.32 | -0.15 | +53.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -11.0% | +9.6% |
| 2020-01-23 miss | 1.09 | 0.98 | -9.7% | -0.9% | +3.6% | +0.8% | -2.3% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.08 | 1.23 | +13.7% | +1.8% | +5.7% | -0.3% | +1.3% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.6% | -2.5% | +0.3% | -7.2% | -7.9% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +13.1% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.