MCO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +1.2% | 3.1% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.0% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 1.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +0.9% | 5.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 4.25 | 4.68 | +10.0% | +0.6% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 4.22 | 4.33 | +2.6% | +3.2% | +1.6% | -1.4% | -4.6% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 3.44 | 3.64 | +6.0% | +3.7% | +6.5% | +2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 3.68 | 3.92 | +6.4% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 3.39 | 3.56 | +5.0% | -3.0% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.54 | 3.83 | +8.2% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +10.0% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 2.58 | 2.62 | +1.6% | +2.5% | +4.4% | -5.2% | -14.0% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 2.87 | 3.21 | +12.0% | -2.4% | -3.9% | -1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 3.02 | 3.28 | +8.6% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.01 | 3.37 | +12.1% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +6.7% | +6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.