MCO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 3.3% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.3% | 4.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 4.25 | 4.68 | +10.0% | +0.6% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 4.22 | 4.33 | +2.6% | +3.2% | +1.6% | -1.4% | -4.6% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 3.44 | 3.64 | +6.0% | +3.7% | +6.5% | +2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 3.68 | 3.92 | +6.4% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 3.39 | 3.56 | +5.0% | -3.0% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.54 | 3.83 | +8.2% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +10.0% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 2.58 | 2.62 | +1.6% | +2.5% | +4.4% | -5.2% | -14.0% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 2.87 | 3.21 | +12.0% | -2.4% | -3.9% | -1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 3.02 | 3.28 | +8.6% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.01 | 3.37 | +12.1% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +6.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 2.32 | 2.19 | -5.5% | -5.6% | -7.9% | +1.8% | +3.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 2.29 | 2.43 | +6.1% | +4.4% | +2.8% | -0.4% | +15.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.21 | 2.30 | +3.9% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -2.6% | -7.5% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 2.18 | 2.99 | +37.3% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.47 | 1.60 | +8.5% | +1.6% | +2.7% | -1.5% | -10.0% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 2.03 | 1.85 | -9.0% | -1.6% | +5.2% | +2.6% | +15.7% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 2.31 | 2.22 | -4.0% | -0.2% | -1.4% | +7.3% | +4.3% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 2.89 | 2.89 | -0.1% | -9.0% | -4.9% | -5.1% | -6.2% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 2.39 | 2.33 | -2.4% | +0.3% | +2.0% | -7.7% | -13.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 2.55 | 2.69 | +5.6% | +1.0% | +3.6% | -4.3% | -2.3% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 2.77 | 3.22 | +16.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 2.80 | 4.06 | +44.9% | +4.2% | -1.9% | +2.7% | +4.3% |
| 2021-02-12 miss | 1.94 | 1.91 | -1.5% | -1.3% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +6.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 2.08 | 2.69 | +29.6% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +10.7% | +7.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 2.20 | 2.81 | +28.0% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -1.6% | +3.7% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 2.24 | 2.73 | +22.0% | -5.5% | -4.3% | +1.6% | +13.6% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 1.92 | 2.00 | +4.2% | +0.4% | +0.9% | +2.0% | -22.1% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.99 | 2.15 | +7.9% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -1.1% | +3.9% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 2.01 | 2.07 | +3.0% | +3.2% | +6.0% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 1.94 | 2.07 | +6.8% | +0.0% | +3.0% | -0.2% | -5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.