MCO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 4.0% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 42% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.4% | 5.0% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 4.25 | 4.68 | +10.0% | +0.6% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 4.22 | 4.33 | +2.6% | +3.2% | +1.6% | -1.4% | -4.6% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 3.44 | 3.64 | +6.0% | +3.7% | +6.5% | +2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 3.68 | 3.92 | +6.4% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 3.39 | 3.56 | +5.0% | -3.0% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.54 | 3.83 | +8.2% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +10.0% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 2.58 | 2.62 | +1.6% | +2.5% | +4.4% | -5.2% | -14.0% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 2.87 | 3.21 | +12.0% | -2.4% | -3.9% | -1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 3.02 | 3.28 | +8.6% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.01 | 3.37 | +12.1% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +6.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 2.32 | 2.19 | -5.5% | -5.6% | -7.9% | +1.8% | +3.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 2.29 | 2.43 | +6.1% | +4.4% | +2.8% | -0.4% | +15.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.21 | 2.30 | +3.9% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -2.6% | -7.5% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 2.18 | 2.99 | +37.3% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.47 | 1.60 | +8.5% | +1.6% | +2.7% | -1.5% | -10.0% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 2.03 | 1.85 | -9.0% | -1.6% | +5.2% | +2.6% | +15.7% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 2.31 | 2.22 | -4.0% | -0.2% | -1.4% | +7.3% | +4.3% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 2.89 | 2.89 | -0.1% | -9.0% | -4.9% | -5.1% | -6.2% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 2.39 | 2.33 | -2.4% | +0.3% | +2.0% | -7.7% | -13.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 2.55 | 2.69 | +5.6% | +1.0% | +3.6% | -4.3% | -2.3% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 2.77 | 3.22 | +16.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 2.80 | 4.06 | +44.9% | +4.2% | -1.9% | +2.7% | +4.3% |
| 2021-02-12 miss | 1.94 | 1.91 | -1.5% | -1.3% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +6.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 2.08 | 2.69 | +29.6% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +10.7% | +7.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 2.20 | 2.81 | +28.0% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -1.6% | +3.7% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 2.24 | 2.73 | +22.0% | -5.5% | -4.3% | +1.6% | +13.6% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 1.92 | 2.00 | +4.2% | +0.4% | +0.9% | +2.0% | -22.1% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.99 | 2.15 | +7.9% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -1.1% | +3.9% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 2.01 | 2.07 | +3.0% | +3.2% | +6.0% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 1.94 | 2.07 | +6.8% | +0.0% | +3.0% | -0.2% | -5.0% |
| 2019-02-15 miss | 1.68 | 1.63 | -2.9% | +3.8% | +3.4% | +1.9% | +5.5% |
| 2018-10-26 miss | 1.78 | 1.69 | -5.2% | -4.6% | -8.7% | +5.5% | +7.8% |
| 2018-07-27 beat | 1.89 | 2.04 | +7.7% | -2.0% | -4.9% | -2.2% | -0.7% |
| 2018-04-27 beat | 1.81 | 2.02 | +11.6% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +2.0% | +4.8% |
| 2018-02-09 beat | 1.45 | 1.51 | +4.0% | +1.7% | +1.6% | +8.8% | +9.3% |
| 2017-11-03 beat | 1.37 | 1.44 | +4.8% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -2.8% | +4.0% |
| 2017-07-21 beat | 1.34 | 1.51 | +12.9% | +2.6% | +4.2% | -0.3% | -1.3% |
| 2017-05-05 beat | 1.24 | 1.47 | +18.5% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -0.4% |
| 2017-02-17 beat | 1.14 | 1.23 | +8.2% | -0.5% | +2.4% | -0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2016-10-21 beat | 1.20 | 1.34 | +11.4% | -3.2% | -5.4% | -1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2016-07-22 beat | 1.25 | 1.30 | +4.3% | -0.3% | +0.9% | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-29 miss | 1.07 | 0.93 | -12.9% | -3.3% | -3.4% | -1.3% | +3.1% |
| 2016-02-05 beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +4.0% | +1.6% | -3.9% | -1.7% | +10.8% |
| 2015-10-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +4.1% | -2.9% | -5.3% | +6.6% | +7.6% |
| 2015-07-24 beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +5.3% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -11.0% |
| 2015-05-01 beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +8.1% | +2.3% | -0.3% | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2015-02-06 beat | 0.95 | 1.12 | +18.0% | +2.9% | +5.1% | +0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2014-10-24 beat | 0.90 | 0.97 | +7.7% | +0.6% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +4.8% |
| 2014-07-25 beat | 1.01 | 1.12 | +10.7% | +2.0% | -0.9% | -5.1% | +0.6% |
| 2014-04-25 beat | 0.91 | 1.00 | +9.6% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +8.3% |
| 2014-02-07 beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +11.6% | +9.6% | +4.2% | -0.6% | +3.9% |
| 2013-10-25 beat | 0.82 | 0.83 | +0.9% | -3.0% | -2.2% | -0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.88 | 1.00 | +13.2% | +2.7% | +3.8% | +4.8% | +0.8% |
| 2013-05-03 beat | 0.84 | 0.97 | +15.7% | +1.3% | +3.6% | +4.2% | +4.0% |
| 2013-02-08 beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +10.4% | -3.6% | -7.7% | +7.9% | +17.8% |
| 2012-10-26 beat | 0.62 | 0.75 | +21.7% | +2.3% | +4.7% | -1.7% | +0.5% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.1% | +2.2% | +11.2% | -0.6% | -3.7% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.76 | +13.4% | +0.1% | -0.9% | -5.1% | -10.2% |
| 2012-02-08 miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -12.2% | -11.4% | -1.7% | -0.2% | +1.4% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +17.8% | +2.9% | +9.1% | -3.2% | -12.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.