MKL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 6.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 1.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +1.6% | 6.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 30.57 | 19.79 | -35.3% | -2.8% | -6.4% | -0.8% | -3.6% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 26.34 | 23.55 | -10.6% | -2.8% | -7.8% | +1.5% | +3.2% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 25.73 | 37.41 | +45.4% | +2.2% | +2.0% | -0.6% | -6.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 23.77 | 31.61 | +33.0% | +3.5% | +6.1% | +3.7% | +7.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 25.04 | 25.62 | +2.3% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -5.5% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 17.97 | 23.64 | +31.6% | -0.9% | +0.3% | +3.1% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 19.00 | 23.19 | +22.0% | +1.9% | +10.7% | -7.9% | -10.9% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 21.67 | 20.92 | -3.4% | -1.3% | -1.5% | +6.1% | +14.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 21.77 | 26.43 | +21.4% | -0.1% | -4.4% | -3.4% | +2.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 18.30 | 21.23 | +16.0% | +1.8% | +6.8% | +3.8% | +3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.