MKL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 3.7% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 58% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 1.3% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.6% | 4.7% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 30.57 | 19.79 | -35.3% | -2.8% | -6.4% | -0.8% | -3.6% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 26.34 | 23.55 | -10.6% | -2.8% | -7.8% | +1.5% | +3.2% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 25.73 | 37.41 | +45.4% | +2.2% | +2.0% | -0.6% | -6.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 23.77 | 31.61 | +33.0% | +3.5% | +6.1% | +3.7% | +7.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 25.04 | 25.62 | +2.3% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -5.5% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 17.97 | 23.64 | +31.6% | -0.9% | +0.3% | +3.1% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 19.00 | 23.19 | +22.0% | +1.9% | +10.7% | -7.9% | -10.9% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 21.67 | 20.92 | -3.4% | -1.3% | -1.5% | +6.1% | +14.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 21.77 | 26.43 | +21.4% | -0.1% | -4.4% | -3.4% | +2.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 18.30 | 21.23 | +16.0% | +1.8% | +6.8% | +3.8% | +3.5% |
| 2024-01-31 miss | 22.70 | 6.00 | -73.6% | -7.2% | -6.8% | +1.0% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 20.39 | 16.60 | -18.6% | -4.2% | -12.8% | +3.2% | +8.4% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 17.70 | 22.91 | +29.4% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +2.0% | +1.0% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 16.18 | 16.08 | -0.6% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 18.04 | 25.57 | +41.7% | -1.5% | -7.0% | +3.9% | +2.4% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 15.71 | 15.48 | -1.5% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +11.3% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 20.64 | 14.52 | -29.7% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -1.3% | -1.4% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 17.00 | 11.34 | -33.3% | +0.2% | -1.7% | -2.2% | -1.6% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 16.11 | 17.01 | +5.7% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -0.5% | -3.3% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 13.28 | 13.79 | +3.9% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -7.8% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 15.40 | 18.28 | +18.7% | +2.3% | +0.3% | +6.0% | +4.6% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 10.58 | 42.02 | +297.3% | +0.9% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +4.4% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 9.53 | 13.86 | +45.4% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +5.9% | +5.5% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 3.36 | 6.11 | +81.8% | -2.4% | -3.4% | +4.2% | +7.2% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 6.65 | 15.66 | +135.4% | +3.1% | +1.9% | +5.1% | +9.9% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 9.54 | 8.62 | -9.7% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -11.1% | -1.5% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 7.40 | 10.30 | +39.2% | +1.1% | +5.6% | +4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 8.41 | 10.38 | +23.4% | +0.2% | +4.1% | +1.2% | -2.5% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 9.89 | 10.54 | +6.6% | +2.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +2.5% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | 9.52 | 7.99 | -16.1% | +0.0% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -0.2% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 2.00 | 3.67 | +83.5% | -2.0% | -4.8% | -0.1% | -5.9% |
| 2018-10-30 miss | 7.05 | 5.20 | -26.2% | +2.4% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +4.7% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 8.52 | 9.11 | +7.0% | -0.4% | +2.9% | -2.2% | -0.4% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 8.97 | 11.03 | +23.0% | +2.0% | -1.7% | -0.4% | +0.3% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 4.15 | 6.34 | +52.8% | +3.7% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | -16.97 | -16.74 | +1.4% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 6.40 | 9.40 | +46.8% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +2.1% |
| 2017-04-26 miss | 4.01 | 2.77 | -30.7% | -1.6% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -1.7% |
| 2017-02-08 beat | 5.28 | 9.47 | +79.4% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +1.8% | +3.9% |
| 2016-11-01 miss | 7.65 | 4.59 | -40.0% | -1.7% | -2.4% | +2.6% | +3.9% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 6.71 | 6.92 | +3.1% | -0.4% | -2.7% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 6.77 | 10.25 | +51.4% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +3.5% |
| 2016-02-10 beat | 6.96 | 8.72 | +25.3% | -0.2% | -3.2% | +5.7% | +8.7% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 6.51 | 7.21 | +10.8% | +0.0% | +2.3% | -3.3% | +5.3% |
| 2015-08-05 beat | 6.04 | 6.10 | +1.0% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -7.3% |
| 2015-05-06 beat | 5.85 | 13.17 | +125.0% | +1.1% | +4.2% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2015-02-11 beat | 5.52 | 8.18 | +48.3% | +0.2% | +3.2% | +3.0% | +4.1% |
| 2014-11-05 miss | 5.44 | 5.30 | -2.5% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 5.75 | 2.47 | -57.1% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% |
| 2014-05-07 miss | 5.74 | 5.32 | -7.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -2.3% | +0.9% |
| 2014-02-10 miss | 5.77 | 5.54 | -4.0% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +2.8% | +5.0% |
| 2013-11-06 miss | 6.14 | 4.67 | -23.9% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.9% | +5.8% |
| 2013-08-07 miss | 5.83 | 5.13 | -12.0% | -0.2% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -1.9% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 5.47 | 9.50 | +73.6% | +0.7% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -2.3% |
| 2013-02-04 beat | -2.81 | 5.63 | +300.3% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +0.3% | +0.0% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | 4.27 | 4.88 | +14.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -2.6% | -0.3% |
| 2012-08-08 beat | 3.55 | 7.87 | +121.6% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2012-05-09 beat | 3.99 | 4.97 | +24.6% | +1.1% | +1.6% | -1.5% | -2.7% |
| 2012-02-01 beat | 4.29 | 4.43 | +3.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2011-11-07 beat | 4.04 | 4.41 | +9.2% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.