MOH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.5% | -7.6% | 14.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 2.4% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -3.9% | -9.9% | 18.5% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.40 | 1.51 | +7.8% | -1.7% | -9.7% | -2.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.91 | 2.35 | +23.0% | +7.7% | +14.2% | +11.4% | +5.4% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.33 | -2.75 | -921.5% | -28.8% | -25.5% | +2.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 3.89 | 1.84 | -52.7% | -19.5% | -17.5% | -6.1% | -12.1% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 5.53 | 5.48 | -0.9% | -9.0% | -16.8% | -0.2% | +10.3% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 5.96 | 6.08 | +2.0% | +0.4% | -5.5% | -0.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 5.88 | 5.05 | -14.2% | -9.4% | -10.1% | -5.0% | +16.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 5.94 | 6.01 | +1.2% | +18.2% | +17.7% | -0.7% | -10.1% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 5.60 | 5.86 | +4.7% | +10.1% | +12.3% | +6.8% | +6.7% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 5.64 | 5.73 | +1.7% | -4.1% | -4.1% | -3.6% | -5.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.