MOH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -1.7% | 10.8% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.7% | 1.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | -1.3% | -3.3% | 13.4% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.40 | 1.51 | +7.8% | -1.7% | -9.7% | -2.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.91 | 2.35 | +23.0% | +7.7% | +14.2% | +11.4% | +5.4% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.33 | -2.75 | -921.5% | -28.8% | -25.5% | +2.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 3.89 | 1.84 | -52.7% | -19.5% | -17.5% | -6.1% | -12.1% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 5.53 | 5.48 | -0.9% | -9.0% | -16.8% | -0.2% | +10.3% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 5.96 | 6.08 | +2.0% | +0.4% | -5.5% | -0.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 5.88 | 5.05 | -14.2% | -9.4% | -10.1% | -5.0% | +16.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 5.94 | 6.01 | +1.2% | +18.2% | +17.7% | -0.7% | -10.1% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 5.60 | 5.86 | +4.7% | +10.1% | +12.3% | +6.8% | +6.7% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 5.64 | 5.73 | +1.7% | -4.1% | -4.1% | -3.6% | -5.7% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 4.35 | 4.38 | +0.7% | +0.8% | +5.4% | +4.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 4.87 | 5.05 | +3.7% | -9.3% | -1.5% | +1.9% | +10.5% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 5.13 | 5.65 | +10.1% | +2.1% | -1.2% | -1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 5.21 | 5.81 | +11.4% | +1.7% | +7.7% | -1.9% | -8.0% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 4.02 | 4.10 | +2.0% | +2.5% | -1.9% | -2.8% | -12.5% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 4.23 | 4.36 | +3.1% | +0.8% | -4.7% | +0.3% | -7.2% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 4.37 | 4.55 | +4.2% | -0.2% | +3.7% | +2.0% | +6.8% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 4.68 | 4.90 | +4.7% | -0.7% | -2.6% | -1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 2.76 | 2.88 | +4.5% | -3.5% | -0.4% | +4.5% | +0.8% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 2.80 | 2.83 | +1.0% | +2.1% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.