MSTR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -2.2% | 11.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.6% | -1.9% | 4.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +1.0% | 5.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | -2.2% | 10.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 3.07 | -24.45 | -895.3% | -2.9% | -4.6% | +7.2% | +42.5% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | -15.33 | -38.25 | -149.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -4.7% | -35.5% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | -20.99 | -42.93 | -104.5% | +7.4% | +26.1% | -0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 9.67 | 8.42 | -12.9% | +6.1% | +5.9% | -10.2% | -32.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 21.48 | 32.52 | +51.4% | -2.8% | -8.8% | +7.8% | -6.8% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -0.02 | -16.53 | -70753.0% | +3.2% | +3.3% | +5.5% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 0.06 | -3.20 | -5433.3% | +0.6% | -3.3% | -0.2% | -26.5% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.02 | -1.56 | -9354.5% | +1.5% | -1.1% | +10.8% | +55.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -0.02 | -0.76 | -3444.2% | -1.7% | -4.2% | -6.5% | -15.5% |
| 2024-04-29 miss | -0.08 | -0.31 | -306.6% | -7.3% | -17.6% | +18.1% | +44.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.