MSTR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.1% | 8.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 5.1% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +1.8% | +0.9% | 5.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +3.1% | +0.5% | 19.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 3.07 | -24.45 | -895.3% | -2.9% | -4.6% | +7.2% | +42.5% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | -15.33 | -38.25 | -149.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -4.7% | -35.5% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | -20.99 | -42.93 | -104.5% | +7.4% | +26.1% | -0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 9.67 | 8.42 | -12.9% | +6.1% | +5.9% | -10.2% | -32.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 21.48 | 32.52 | +51.4% | -2.8% | -8.8% | +7.8% | -6.8% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -0.02 | -16.53 | -70753.0% | +3.2% | +3.3% | +5.5% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 0.06 | -3.20 | -5433.3% | +0.6% | -3.3% | -0.2% | -26.5% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.02 | -1.56 | -9354.5% | +1.5% | -1.1% | +10.8% | +55.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -0.02 | -0.76 | -3444.2% | -1.7% | -4.2% | -6.5% | -15.5% |
| 2024-04-29 miss | -0.08 | -0.31 | -306.6% | -7.3% | -17.6% | +18.1% | +44.7% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.56 | +2534.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +51.5% | +180.6% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | -0.06 | -1.01 | -1670.2% | +3.2% | +6.3% | +8.9% | +24.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | -0.05 | 0.15 | +392.3% | +0.0% | -6.4% | -7.2% | -12.2% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | -0.13 | 3.18 | +2564.3% | +0.9% | +6.7% | -7.5% | -8.6% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.10 | -2.05 | -2185.8% | -4.5% | -2.5% | -14.5% | -18.7% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.10 | -0.10 | -194.1% | +0.7% | -3.5% | -31.4% | -16.6% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | -0.08 | -9.28 | -10883.4% | +2.0% | +12.7% | +7.1% | -29.6% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | -0.21 | -1.04 | -397.4% | +1.9% | +6.7% | -54.1% | -38.0% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.15 | -0.01 | -105.9% | -1.7% | -6.5% | +28.0% | +17.6% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.06 | -0.36 | -733.3% | +1.0% | -0.3% | +11.5% | +0.9% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.10 | 0.17 | +71.1% | -1.5% | +0.2% | +19.6% | +12.3% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.05 | 0.15 | +218.6% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -5.6% | -27.3% |
| 2021-01-28 miss | 0.16 | 0.03 | -83.3% | +17.6% | +6.7% | +30.6% | +21.3% |
| 2020-10-27 miss | 0.04 | -0.15 | -477.4% | +2.5% | -7.6% | +6.4% | +67.3% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -12.5% | +5.2% | +4.2% | +1.0% | +19.4% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -63.3% | +1.0% | -1.1% | -4.3% | -2.4% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +43.0% | +9.0% | +6.0% | +0.2% | -11.4% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +42.1% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -166.4% | +3.1% | +11.0% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | — | -0.08 | -1465.0% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -2.2% | -5.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.