MSTR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -0.2% | 8.7% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 3.9% | 38% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +0.6% | 4.1% | 63% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | -0.5% | 15.7% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 3.07 | -24.45 | -895.3% | -2.9% | -4.6% | +7.2% | +42.5% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | -15.33 | -38.25 | -149.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -4.7% | -35.5% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | -20.99 | -42.93 | -104.5% | +7.4% | +26.1% | -0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 9.67 | 8.42 | -12.9% | +6.1% | +5.9% | -10.2% | -32.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 21.48 | 32.52 | +51.4% | -2.8% | -8.8% | +7.8% | -6.8% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -0.02 | -16.53 | -70753.0% | +3.2% | +3.3% | +5.5% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 0.06 | -3.20 | -5433.3% | +0.6% | -3.3% | -0.2% | -26.5% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.02 | -1.56 | -9354.5% | +1.5% | -1.1% | +10.8% | +55.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -0.02 | -0.76 | -3444.2% | -1.7% | -4.2% | -6.5% | -15.5% |
| 2024-04-29 miss | -0.08 | -0.31 | -306.6% | -7.3% | -17.6% | +18.1% | +44.7% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.56 | +2534.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +51.5% | +180.6% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | -0.06 | -1.01 | -1670.2% | +3.2% | +6.3% | +8.9% | +24.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | -0.05 | 0.15 | +392.3% | +0.0% | -6.4% | -7.2% | -12.2% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | -0.13 | 3.18 | +2564.3% | +0.9% | +6.7% | -7.5% | -8.6% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.10 | -2.05 | -2185.8% | -4.5% | -2.5% | -14.5% | -18.7% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.10 | -0.10 | -194.1% | +0.7% | -3.5% | -31.4% | -16.6% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | -0.08 | -9.28 | -10883.4% | +2.0% | +12.7% | +7.1% | -29.6% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | -0.21 | -1.04 | -397.4% | +1.9% | +6.7% | -54.1% | -38.0% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.15 | -0.01 | -105.9% | -1.7% | -6.5% | +28.0% | +17.6% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.06 | -0.36 | -733.3% | +1.0% | -0.3% | +11.5% | +0.9% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.10 | 0.17 | +71.1% | -1.5% | +0.2% | +19.6% | +12.3% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.05 | 0.15 | +218.6% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -5.6% | -27.3% |
| 2021-01-28 miss | 0.16 | 0.03 | -83.3% | +17.6% | +6.7% | +30.6% | +21.3% |
| 2020-10-27 miss | 0.04 | -0.15 | -477.4% | +2.5% | -7.6% | +6.4% | +67.3% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -12.5% | +5.2% | +4.2% | +1.0% | +19.4% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -63.3% | +1.0% | -1.1% | -4.3% | -2.4% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +43.0% | +9.0% | +6.0% | +0.2% | -11.4% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +42.1% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -166.4% | +3.1% | +11.0% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | — | -0.08 | -1465.0% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -2.2% | -5.8% |
| 2019-01-29 miss | 0.10 | 0.03 | -70.4% | -7.4% | -7.9% | +0.7% | +11.3% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +21.4% | -2.1% | -0.6% | +3.5% | +2.3% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +172.6% | +0.8% | -6.0% | +4.4% | +13.8% |
| 2018-04-26 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -71.7% | -5.5% | -4.2% | +2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +27.7% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +39.1% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -5.1% | -1.9% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -40.0% | -10.1% | -26.0% | -3.0% | -9.8% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -19.2% | -1.6% | -1.2% | +0.4% | -3.9% |
| 2017-01-31 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -2.2% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -4.6% | -3.3% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +32.2% | +9.5% | +10.3% | -0.7% | +2.0% |
| 2016-07-28 miss | 0.22 | 0.16 | -25.6% | -7.5% | -5.5% | -4.9% | -5.1% |
| 2016-04-27 miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -31.9% | -9.4% | -3.9% | -1.5% | +4.6% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +40.8% | +13.0% | +17.5% | +0.3% | -3.8% |
| 2015-10-26 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.2% | -9.3% | -14.3% | +5.3% | +4.3% |
| 2015-07-27 beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +42.1% | +15.1% | +13.4% | +6.4% | -0.4% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +97.1% | +6.1% | +10.2% | -4.1% | -5.9% |
| 2015-01-26 beat | 0.07 | 0.22 | +192.2% | -9.4% | -4.1% | +3.7% | +11.2% |
| 2014-10-27 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +105.7% | +3.8% | +2.5% | +0.2% | +10.0% |
| 2014-07-28 miss | -0.01 | -0.09 | -1059.2% | +7.6% | +9.3% | -4.0% | -7.8% |
| 2014-04-28 miss | 0.01 | -0.06 | -577.4% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -1.8% | +18.3% |
| 2014-01-27 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +29.7% | +12.0% | +8.4% | -1.5% | +6.7% |
| 2013-10-28 beat | 0.02 | 0.15 | +716.3% | +2.0% | +18.4% | +6.3% | +8.0% |
| 2013-07-29 miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -136.1% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +0.3% | -4.2% |
| 2013-04-29 miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -235.1% | -7.4% | -9.2% | +1.6% | +3.3% |
| 2013-01-28 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -26.3% | -1.8% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +1.8% |
| 2012-10-29 miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -48.5% | +0.4% | +3.1% | -1.7% | -9.0% |
| 2012-07-30 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +38.8% | -7.0% | -2.0% | +8.0% | +8.7% |
| 2012-05-02 beat | — | — | +1011.1% | +4.5% | +10.0% | -9.0% | -23.2% |
| 2012-01-30 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -14.1% | -4.0% | +0.8% | +8.2% | +17.4% |
| 2011-10-31 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +3.4% | -9.0% | -11.6% | +2.9% | +4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.