MTN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.8% | 5.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +2.8% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -0.2% | 6.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 miss | 8.96 | 8.81 | -1.6% | -4.3% | -4.3% | +4.1% | +14.4% |
| 2026-03-09 miss | 6.15 | 5.87 | -4.6% | -2.9% | +0.9% | +6.8% | -4.2% |
| 2025-12-10 miss | -5.13 | -5.20 | -1.3% | +6.0% | +9.3% | -0.3% | -8.5% |
| 2025-09-29 miss | -4.72 | -5.08 | -7.7% | -5.7% | +1.0% | +1.7% | -0.8% |
| 2025-06-05 beat | 10.06 | 10.54 | +4.7% | +0.3% | -2.9% | +0.7% | +10.5% |
| 2025-03-10 beat | 6.32 | 6.56 | +3.8% | +5.7% | +7.7% | -2.8% | -12.5% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | -5.00 | -4.61 | +7.7% | +2.3% | +2.5% | -3.2% | -7.4% |
| 2024-09-26 miss | -4.26 | -4.67 | -9.5% | -4.0% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -5.5% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 9.98 | 10.26 | +2.8% | -9.5% | -10.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| 2024-03-11 miss | 5.99 | 5.76 | -3.8% | -4.3% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.