MTN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 5.4% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 3.2% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.0% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -0.2% | 6.6% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 miss | 8.96 | 8.81 | -1.6% | -4.3% | -4.3% | +4.1% | +14.4% |
| 2026-03-09 miss | 6.15 | 5.87 | -4.6% | -2.9% | +0.9% | +6.8% | -4.2% |
| 2025-12-10 miss | -5.13 | -5.20 | -1.3% | +6.0% | +9.3% | -0.3% | -8.5% |
| 2025-09-29 miss | -4.72 | -5.08 | -7.7% | -5.7% | +1.0% | +1.7% | -0.8% |
| 2025-06-05 beat | 10.06 | 10.54 | +4.7% | +0.3% | -2.9% | +0.7% | +10.5% |
| 2025-03-10 beat | 6.32 | 6.56 | +3.8% | +5.7% | +7.7% | -2.8% | -12.5% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | -5.00 | -4.61 | +7.7% | +2.3% | +2.5% | -3.2% | -7.4% |
| 2024-09-26 miss | -4.26 | -4.67 | -9.5% | -4.0% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -5.5% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 9.98 | 10.26 | +2.8% | -9.5% | -10.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| 2024-03-11 miss | 5.99 | 5.76 | -3.8% | -4.3% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2023-12-07 beat | -4.63 | -4.60 | +0.7% | +0.8% | +4.1% | +0.4% | -4.9% |
| 2023-09-28 miss | -3.27 | -3.35 | -2.5% | -1.0% | -8.4% | -3.9% | -5.2% |
| 2023-06-08 miss | 8.79 | 8.18 | -6.9% | -5.1% | -7.1% | +3.7% | +1.8% |
| 2023-03-09 miss | 6.03 | 5.16 | -14.4% | -2.0% | -3.3% | -0.6% | +9.9% |
| 2022-12-08 miss | -3.29 | -3.40 | -3.3% | +1.9% | +3.0% | -2.9% | -3.0% |
| 2022-09-28 beat | -2.86 | -2.70 | +5.6% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +1.5% |
| 2022-06-09 beat | 9.01 | 9.16 | +1.7% | +4.3% | +1.3% | -8.8% | -14.6% |
| 2022-03-14 miss | 5.66 | 5.47 | -3.3% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +5.7% | +3.4% |
| 2021-12-09 beat | -3.56 | -3.44 | +3.5% | +2.2% | +0.9% | -4.9% | -11.5% |
| 2021-09-23 beat | -3.50 | -3.37 | +3.5% | -1.4% | +7.4% | -0.8% | +0.1% |
| 2021-06-07 beat | 6.46 | 6.72 | +4.1% | -0.8% | -2.4% | -1.0% | -2.8% |
| 2021-03-11 beat | 2.40 | 3.62 | +50.8% | +6.2% | +3.1% | -0.5% | -2.2% |
| 2020-12-10 miss | -3.66 | -3.82 | -4.5% | -2.2% | -4.6% | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2020-09-24 miss | -3.53 | -3.77 | -6.8% | -0.1% | +0.5% | -3.6% | +8.7% |
| 2020-06-04 beat | 3.10 | 4.21 | +35.6% | +2.3% | -4.9% | -6.4% | -9.4% |
| 2020-03-09 miss | 5.44 | 5.04 | -7.3% | -4.4% | -2.3% | -9.1% | -11.3% |
| 2019-12-09 beat | -2.98 | -2.64 | +11.5% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +5.9% | +7.9% |
| 2019-09-26 beat | -2.56 | -2.18 | +15.0% | +5.2% | +2.9% | -2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2019-06-06 beat | 7.08 | 7.12 | +0.6% | +4.2% | +8.7% | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| 2019-03-08 beat | 4.80 | 5.01 | +4.4% | +2.8% | +7.0% | -1.1% | +0.7% |
| 2018-12-07 miss | -2.42 | -2.66 | -9.7% | -4.8% | -17.9% | +0.6% | -3.5% |
| 2018-09-28 beat | -2.23 | -2.07 | +7.2% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -9.1% | -14.5% |
| 2018-06-07 beat | 6.07 | 6.17 | +1.6% | +5.5% | +4.5% | +3.8% | +5.2% |
| 2018-03-08 beat | 3.57 | 5.67 | +59.0% | +1.3% | +5.4% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
| 2017-12-07 miss | -1.92 | -2.00 | -4.2% | +4.0% | +2.0% | -3.1% | -5.4% |
| 2017-09-28 beat | -1.82 | -1.43 | +21.2% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -2.4% | +2.5% |
| 2017-06-08 miss | 4.83 | 4.40 | -8.9% | -3.7% | -1.9% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| 2017-03-10 beat | 3.40 | 3.63 | +6.6% | +2.9% | +4.7% | +0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2016-12-09 miss | -1.56 | -1.60 | -2.4% | -1.0% | +4.4% | -3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2016-09-26 miss | -1.67 | -1.80 | -7.5% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2016-06-09 beat | 4.16 | 4.23 | +1.6% | +1.9% | +2.9% | -1.0% | +2.5% |
| 2016-03-10 beat | 2.99 | 3.14 | +4.9% | +1.6% | -4.0% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2015-12-07 beat | -1.71 | -1.65 | +3.4% | +2.9% | +2.9% | +1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2015-09-28 beat | -1.93 | -1.92 | +0.4% | +0.5% | -4.1% | +2.7% | +9.8% |
| 2015-06-08 miss | 3.69 | 3.56 | -3.6% | -3.0% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +2.7% |
| 2015-03-12 beat | 2.31 | 3.10 | +34.0% | +5.8% | +9.7% | +6.1% | +12.6% |
| 2014-12-08 miss | -2.02 | -2.35 | -16.1% | -0.5% | -2.5% | +1.2% | +1.2% |
| 2014-09-24 beat | -1.95 | -1.73 | +11.3% | +0.5% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2014-06-05 beat | 2.92 | 3.18 | +8.8% | +3.3% | +5.9% | -0.9% | +2.0% |
| 2014-03-12 miss | 1.88 | 1.60 | -14.9% | -1.5% | -2.9% | +4.6% | -6.3% |
| 2013-12-09 miss | -1.91 | -2.04 | -6.9% | -0.5% | -3.3% | +0.8% | -2.2% |
| 2013-09-27 beat | -1.72 | -1.67 | +3.0% | +1.5% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2013-06-06 miss | 2.75 | 2.66 | -3.4% | -3.5% | +2.8% | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2013-03-06 miss | 1.68 | 1.65 | -2.0% | +3.8% | +7.3% | +0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2012-12-04 miss | -1.59 | -1.70 | -7.0% | -8.8% | -7.9% | +4.4% | +9.3% |
| 2012-09-25 beat | -1.56 | -1.50 | +3.8% | +4.8% | +8.2% | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2012-06-06 miss | 2.18 | 2.17 | -0.3% | +0.6% | +7.4% | -3.4% | +5.1% |
| 2012-03-06 miss | 1.46 | 1.27 | -13.0% | -2.4% | +4.3% | +7.9% | -1.3% |
| 2011-12-07 beat | -1.54 | -1.54 | +0.2% | -2.5% | -0.1% | -6.6% | -13.8% |
| 2011-09-22 beat | -1.51 | -1.49 | +1.1% | -5.0% | -7.7% | +10.6% | +18.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.