MTN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.9% | 5.3% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +1.1% | 3.8% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.2% | 6.2% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 miss | 8.96 | 8.81 | -1.6% | -4.3% | -4.3% | +4.1% | +14.4% |
| 2026-03-09 miss | 6.15 | 5.87 | -4.6% | -2.9% | +0.9% | +6.8% | -4.2% |
| 2025-12-10 miss | -5.13 | -5.20 | -1.3% | +6.0% | +9.3% | -0.3% | -8.5% |
| 2025-09-29 miss | -4.72 | -5.08 | -7.7% | -5.7% | +1.0% | +1.7% | -0.8% |
| 2025-06-05 beat | 10.06 | 10.54 | +4.7% | +0.3% | -2.9% | +0.7% | +10.5% |
| 2025-03-10 beat | 6.32 | 6.56 | +3.8% | +5.7% | +7.7% | -2.8% | -12.5% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | -5.00 | -4.61 | +7.7% | +2.3% | +2.5% | -3.2% | -7.4% |
| 2024-09-26 miss | -4.26 | -4.67 | -9.5% | -4.0% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -5.5% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 9.98 | 10.26 | +2.8% | -9.5% | -10.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| 2024-03-11 miss | 5.99 | 5.76 | -3.8% | -4.3% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2023-12-07 beat | -4.63 | -4.60 | +0.7% | +0.8% | +4.1% | +0.4% | -4.9% |
| 2023-09-28 miss | -3.27 | -3.35 | -2.5% | -1.0% | -8.4% | -3.9% | -5.2% |
| 2023-06-08 miss | 8.79 | 8.18 | -6.9% | -5.1% | -7.1% | +3.7% | +1.8% |
| 2023-03-09 miss | 6.03 | 5.16 | -14.4% | -2.0% | -3.3% | -0.6% | +9.9% |
| 2022-12-08 miss | -3.29 | -3.40 | -3.3% | +1.9% | +3.0% | -2.9% | -3.0% |
| 2022-09-28 beat | -2.86 | -2.70 | +5.6% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +1.5% |
| 2022-06-09 beat | 9.01 | 9.16 | +1.7% | +4.3% | +1.3% | -8.8% | -14.6% |
| 2022-03-14 miss | 5.66 | 5.47 | -3.3% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +5.7% | +3.4% |
| 2021-12-09 beat | -3.56 | -3.44 | +3.5% | +2.2% | +0.9% | -4.9% | -11.5% |
| 2021-09-23 beat | -3.50 | -3.37 | +3.5% | -1.4% | +7.4% | -0.8% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.