MTZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +2.9% | 8.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.9% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.3% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | -0.5% | 11.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 2.23 | 2.22 | -0.6% | -14.6% | -18.9% | +3.6% | -8.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.39 | +40.6% | +3.3% | +5.9% | -0.7% | -12.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 1.95 | 2.07 | +6.4% | +0.0% | +2.8% | -4.2% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.30 | 2.48 | +7.7% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -1.8% | +4.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.40 | 1.49 | +6.4% | -10.5% | -8.0% | +4.2% | +3.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.51 | +51.2% | +3.4% | +5.1% | +5.2% | +13.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.22 | 1.44 | +18.0% | -1.8% | +3.0% | -11.6% | -10.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.23 | 1.63 | +32.3% | +12.6% | +5.8% | +11.5% | +10.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.96 | +10.5% | +4.5% | -3.7% | +4.4% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.48 | -0.13 | +72.7% | +11.5% | +11.9% | +6.2% | +6.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.