MTZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +2.9% | 8.5% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 2.9% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 47% |
| 5-day | +3.2% | +3.0% | 11.7% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 2.23 | 2.22 | -0.6% | -14.6% | -18.9% | +3.6% | -8.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.39 | +40.6% | +3.3% | +5.9% | -0.7% | -12.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 1.95 | 2.07 | +6.4% | +0.0% | +2.8% | -4.2% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.30 | 2.48 | +7.7% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -1.8% | +4.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.40 | 1.49 | +6.4% | -10.5% | -8.0% | +4.2% | +3.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.51 | +51.2% | +3.4% | +5.1% | +5.2% | +13.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.22 | 1.44 | +18.0% | -1.8% | +3.0% | -11.6% | -10.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.23 | 1.63 | +32.3% | +12.6% | +5.8% | +11.5% | +10.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.96 | +10.5% | +4.5% | -3.7% | +4.4% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.48 | -0.13 | +72.7% | +11.5% | +11.9% | +6.2% | +6.1% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 0.44 | 0.66 | +50.4% | +11.3% | +12.4% | +8.9% | +9.1% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 1.84 | 0.95 | -48.4% | -17.6% | -17.6% | +2.1% | +28.9% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.3% | -13.3% | -17.7% | -5.5% | -4.0% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.57 | -0.54 | +5.0% | +3.3% | +4.3% | +6.3% | +20.3% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.98 | 1.03 | +4.8% | -5.0% | +0.3% | +5.2% | -3.3% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.28 | 1.34 | +4.9% | +9.4% | +17.2% | +10.4% | +0.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.8% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +2.3% | -4.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.11 | -0.03 | +71.6% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +0.9% | +13.2% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.28 | 1.10 | -14.4% | -1.4% | -13.1% | -5.2% | +9.0% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.69 | 1.81 | +6.9% | +0.2% | +4.8% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 1.23 | 1.30 | +5.4% | -2.5% | -6.1% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.77 | 1.10 | +42.7% | -1.5% | +1.8% | +6.4% | +9.0% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.66 | 1.75 | +5.6% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +7.0% | -0.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.66 | 1.68 | +0.9% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +6.7% | +14.0% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.79 | 0.95 | +19.8% | +3.7% | +5.2% | +11.3% | +16.2% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +29.7% | +9.7% | +3.4% | -1.7% | +15.1% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 1.26 | 1.30 | +3.5% | -5.5% | -6.3% | -5.5% | -36.9% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 1.62 | 1.73 | +6.7% | -1.8% | +8.8% | +3.3% | -7.1% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 1.12 | 1.60 | +42.8% | +8.5% | +15.8% | +5.6% | +6.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.43 | 0.58 | +34.6% | +5.8% | -0.6% | +2.7% | -0.1% |
| 2019-02-28 beat | 1.06 | 1.07 | +0.9% | +7.5% | +8.6% | -1.9% | +3.8% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.5% | +10.6% | +5.8% | +4.2% | -10.5% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +0.9% | -6.2% | -1.4% | +0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.21 | 0.35 | +68.3% | +5.8% | +6.4% | +1.8% | -0.3% |
| 2018-02-27 beat | 0.37 | 0.47 | +25.6% | +0.8% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -7.7% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.73 | 0.82 | +11.7% | +3.7% | +2.8% | +0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 0.65 | 1.03 | +57.6% | +7.1% | -6.3% | -6.1% | -5.6% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +16.0% | +8.2% | +8.5% | -7.5% | -8.9% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 0.54 | 0.70 | +30.3% | +8.0% | +8.2% | +1.7% | -4.7% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.70 | 0.81 | +16.4% | +7.8% | +3.9% | +18.2% | +32.7% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.23 | 0.36 | +58.2% | +6.6% | +15.9% | +5.3% | +5.2% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +222.8% | -0.5% | +1.2% | -4.7% | +7.5% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 0.12 | 0.19 | +57.9% | +10.2% | +11.8% | +14.0% | +24.3% |
| 2015-11-03 miss | 0.33 | 0.26 | -22.9% | -2.0% | +5.0% | -4.8% | +8.0% |
| 2015-08-17 miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -6.0% | -6.6% | -6.1% | -9.7% | +12.7% |
| 2015-05-11 miss | 0.18 | 0.07 | -60.6% | -6.9% | -12.2% | +5.0% | +16.8% |
| 2015-02-26 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.8% | +7.2% | +7.5% | -9.1% | -8.0% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +0.9% | +5.4% | +8.2% | +0.0% | -19.1% |
| 2014-08-11 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.7% | -0.4% | +2.6% | +1.1% | +7.9% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.4% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -17.0% |
| 2014-02-27 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.9% | +1.7% | +7.5% | +3.0% | +6.1% |
| 2013-10-31 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +1.2% | +0.2% | +1.8% | -4.9% | -4.2% |
| 2013-08-01 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +10.2% | +1.7% | +1.6% | -1.7% | -8.3% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +6.1% | +3.7% | +10.0% | -1.6% | +0.6% |
| 2013-02-28 miss | 0.45 | 0.45 | -0.7% | -1.7% | +2.3% | -1.3% | -9.3% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.7% | -0.4% | +2.6% | -1.9% | -2.1% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +1.9% | +9.6% | +13.2% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +4.9% | +0.4% | +6.4% | -6.0% | -10.8% |
| 2012-02-29 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +10.7% | +2.4% | +12.0% | -8.0% | -8.2% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.8% | -20.7% | -20.0% | -2.6% | -8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.