MTZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +2.9% | 10.3% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.3% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +4.0% | 14.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 2.23 | 2.22 | -0.6% | -14.6% | -18.9% | +3.6% | -8.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.39 | +40.6% | +3.3% | +5.9% | -0.7% | -12.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 1.95 | 2.07 | +6.4% | +0.0% | +2.8% | -4.2% | +2.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.30 | 2.48 | +7.7% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -1.8% | +4.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.40 | 1.49 | +6.4% | -10.5% | -8.0% | +4.2% | +3.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.51 | +51.2% | +3.4% | +5.1% | +5.2% | +13.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.22 | 1.44 | +18.0% | -1.8% | +3.0% | -11.6% | -10.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.23 | 1.63 | +32.3% | +12.6% | +5.8% | +11.5% | +10.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.96 | +10.5% | +4.5% | -3.7% | +4.4% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.48 | -0.13 | +72.7% | +11.5% | +11.9% | +6.2% | +6.1% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 0.44 | 0.66 | +50.4% | +11.3% | +12.4% | +8.9% | +9.1% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 1.84 | 0.95 | -48.4% | -17.6% | -17.6% | +2.1% | +28.9% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.3% | -13.3% | -17.7% | -5.5% | -4.0% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.57 | -0.54 | +5.0% | +3.3% | +4.3% | +6.3% | +20.3% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.98 | 1.03 | +4.8% | -5.0% | +0.3% | +5.2% | -3.3% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.28 | 1.34 | +4.9% | +9.4% | +17.2% | +10.4% | +0.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.8% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +2.3% | -4.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.11 | -0.03 | +71.6% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +0.9% | +13.2% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.28 | 1.10 | -14.4% | -1.4% | -13.1% | -5.2% | +9.0% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.69 | 1.81 | +6.9% | +0.2% | +4.8% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.