NRG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | -1.1% | 12.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +2.2% | 4.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -1.3% | 3.1% | 20% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -4.2% | 15.5% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.74 | 1.49 | -14.4% | +1.1% | -15.5% | +2.3% | -5.1% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 1.73 | 1.49 | -14.0% | -2.7% | -4.3% | -13.0% | -14.2% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.89 | 1.04 | +16.4% | -1.8% | +4.3% | -11.9% | -17.9% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 2.13 | 2.78 | +30.7% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -2.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.65 | 1.73 | +5.0% | -3.4% | -13.6% | +4.3% | -0.6% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.69 | 2.68 | +58.8% | +14.8% | +26.2% | +7.1% | -1.0% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.94 | 1.52 | +61.8% | +3.0% | +10.6% | -12.9% | -15.5% |
| 2024-11-08 miss | 1.95 | 1.85 | -5.0% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -4.1% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 1.55 | 3.37 | +117.9% | +2.4% | +8.2% | +6.1% | -0.1% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.93 | 0.90 | -3.1% | -0.1% | -5.8% | +11.8% | +6.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.