NRG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.4% | 6.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 52% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | -0.2% | 9.2% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.74 | 1.49 | -14.4% | +1.1% | -15.5% | +2.3% | -5.1% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 1.73 | 1.49 | -14.0% | -2.7% | -4.3% | -13.0% | -14.2% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.89 | 1.04 | +16.4% | -1.8% | +4.3% | -11.9% | -17.9% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 2.13 | 2.78 | +30.7% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -2.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.65 | 1.73 | +5.0% | -3.4% | -13.6% | +4.3% | -0.6% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.69 | 2.68 | +58.8% | +14.8% | +26.2% | +7.1% | -1.0% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.94 | 1.52 | +61.8% | +3.0% | +10.6% | -12.9% | -15.5% |
| 2024-11-08 miss | 1.95 | 1.85 | -5.0% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -4.1% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 1.55 | 3.37 | +117.9% | +2.4% | +8.2% | +6.1% | -0.1% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.93 | 0.90 | -3.1% | -0.1% | -5.8% | +11.8% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | 3.76 | 1.64 | -56.4% | -1.0% | +1.2% | +12.4% | +23.7% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 4.00 | 1.41 | -64.7% | -2.5% | +2.9% | -0.1% | +6.5% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 2.44 | 1.25 | -48.9% | -0.4% | -2.0% | +0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 1.20 | 0.71 | -41.0% | -1.3% | -6.2% | -1.1% | +5.5% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 1.51 | 0.47 | -69.2% | -1.7% | -4.9% | -1.4% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 1.08 | 0.29 | -73.0% | -1.1% | +1.9% | -3.0% | -26.7% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.63 | 2.16 | +244.2% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | 0.63 | 0.22 | -64.4% | +2.5% | +9.8% | +2.1% | +11.4% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.16 | -1.74 | -250.5% | +1.0% | +3.6% | -2.1% | -3.0% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 3.02 | 1.30 | -57.0% | -8.8% | -11.1% | -1.3% | +7.1% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.88 | 4.40 | +399.8% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +2.6% | +8.2% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -18.5% | -0.8% | -0.5% | -3.1% | -0.7% |
| 2021-03-01 miss | 0.37 | 0.26 | -30.1% | +15.0% | +10.5% | +3.1% | -8.1% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 1.93 | 1.57 | -18.8% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -2.9% | +5.5% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | 1.16 | 1.11 | -4.0% | -0.4% | +1.3% | +3.9% | -1.8% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.83 | 0.45 | -45.9% | -0.5% | -2.0% | +1.7% | +18.8% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 1.09 | — | -99.7% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -0.4% | -14.3% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 1.87 | 2.25 | +20.1% | +0.9% | +1.2% | -1.6% | -3.7% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | 0.84 | 0.84 | -0.1% | +0.1% | -1.9% | +2.0% | +13.3% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +14.7% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -7.3% | -13.4% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -47.7% | +3.6% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +1.9% |
| 2018-11-08 beat | 1.00 | 1.35 | +34.6% | -1.9% | -3.7% | +6.0% | +12.7% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.65 | 1.09 | +66.5% | -2.6% | -1.0% | +8.1% | +12.1% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | 0.60 | 0.52 | -13.5% | +1.9% | +6.1% | +7.1% | +4.6% |
| 2018-03-01 miss | 0.60 | 0.33 | -44.6% | +4.0% | +4.1% | +10.0% | +12.7% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.70 | 0.90 | +28.2% | +4.1% | +4.5% | +7.1% | +5.5% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 0.28 | 0.52 | +88.0% | -0.5% | -2.0% | +1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | -0.48 | -0.39 | +17.2% | -2.4% | -5.4% | -6.7% | +6.3% |
| 2017-02-28 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -23.2% | -2.0% | -1.3% | +3.3% | +13.1% |
| 2016-11-04 miss | 0.70 | 0.70 | -0.8% | +6.4% | +8.9% | +0.4% | +7.2% |
| 2016-08-09 beat | 0.20 | 0.68 | +244.8% | -0.1% | -5.1% | -4.1% | -3.2% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.25 | 0.46 | +88.6% | +2.1% | +1.6% | +5.2% | +20.3% |
| 2016-02-29 miss | -0.29 | -0.41 | -41.1% | -6.6% | -2.7% | +26.5% | +20.0% |
| 2015-11-04 miss | 0.77 | 0.68 | -12.1% | +3.3% | +4.5% | -7.5% | -36.1% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +42.5% | -2.6% | -10.0% | -4.0% | -6.8% |
| 2015-05-08 miss | -0.36 | -0.40 | -9.6% | +2.2% | +5.7% | -1.1% | -9.6% |
| 2015-02-27 miss | -0.04 | -0.37 | -955.7% | +4.2% | -3.2% | +2.1% | +3.9% |
| 2014-11-05 miss | 0.77 | 0.68 | -12.1% | +1.2% | +7.8% | +0.5% | -12.4% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | 0.21 | -0.03 | -115.6% | +0.3% | -0.9% | -1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | -0.16 | -0.07 | +56.2% | +1.2% | +1.4% | -1.6% | +6.5% |
| 2014-02-28 beat | 0.17 | 0.33 | +94.0% | +0.0% | +1.5% | -1.3% | +9.4% |
| 2013-11-12 miss | 0.84 | 0.50 | -39.9% | -3.5% | -3.5% | +0.4% | +3.4% |
| 2013-08-09 beat | 0.28 | 0.57 | +98.5% | -0.7% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2013-05-07 miss | -0.33 | -0.89 | -171.3% | +0.1% | -0.9% | +1.0% | -6.4% |
| 2013-02-27 beat | -0.08 | 0.19 | +330.2% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +10.4% |
| 2012-11-02 miss | 0.56 | 0.25 | -55.2% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -3.2% | +0.0% |
| 2012-08-08 beat | 0.30 | 1.08 | +264.0% | +1.4% | +3.6% | +3.1% | +7.6% |
| 2012-05-03 miss | -0.13 | -0.38 | -202.8% | -3.5% | -2.4% | -0.5% | -6.6% |
| 2012-02-28 miss | -0.16 | -0.48 | -203.1% | -0.6% | -0.3% | -4.7% | -8.2% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | 0.37 | 0.09 | -74.4% | +0.4% | +3.3% | -0.2% | -10.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.