NRG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 9.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.9% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.5% | 2.5% | 35% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -2.5% | 12.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.74 | 1.49 | -14.4% | +1.1% | -15.5% | +2.3% | -5.1% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 1.73 | 1.49 | -14.0% | -2.7% | -4.3% | -13.0% | -14.2% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.89 | 1.04 | +16.4% | -1.8% | +4.3% | -11.9% | -17.9% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 2.13 | 2.78 | +30.7% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -2.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.65 | 1.73 | +5.0% | -3.4% | -13.6% | +4.3% | -0.6% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.69 | 2.68 | +58.8% | +14.8% | +26.2% | +7.1% | -1.0% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.94 | 1.52 | +61.8% | +3.0% | +10.6% | -12.9% | -15.5% |
| 2024-11-08 miss | 1.95 | 1.85 | -5.0% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -4.1% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 1.55 | 3.37 | +117.9% | +2.4% | +8.2% | +6.1% | -0.1% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.93 | 0.90 | -3.1% | -0.1% | -5.8% | +11.8% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | 3.76 | 1.64 | -56.4% | -1.0% | +1.2% | +12.4% | +23.7% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 4.00 | 1.41 | -64.7% | -2.5% | +2.9% | -0.1% | +6.5% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 2.44 | 1.25 | -48.9% | -0.4% | -2.0% | +0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 1.20 | 0.71 | -41.0% | -1.3% | -6.2% | -1.1% | +5.5% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 1.51 | 0.47 | -69.2% | -1.7% | -4.9% | -1.4% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 1.08 | 0.29 | -73.0% | -1.1% | +1.9% | -3.0% | -26.7% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.63 | 2.16 | +244.2% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | 0.63 | 0.22 | -64.4% | +2.5% | +9.8% | +2.1% | +11.4% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.16 | -1.74 | -250.5% | +1.0% | +3.6% | -2.1% | -3.0% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 3.02 | 1.30 | -57.0% | -8.8% | -11.1% | -1.3% | +7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.