OMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.2% | 6.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 2.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.9% | 1.2% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | -1.9% | 8.6% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 2.66 | 2.65 | -0.4% | -3.0% | -4.2% | -1.1% | +6.4% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.1% | +0.1% | -0.9% | +0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 2.94 | 2.59 | -11.8% | +6.2% | +15.4% | +4.7% | -7.3% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.1% | -0.3% | +3.2% | -7.4% | -12.0% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.05 | +0.8% | +1.7% | +4.6% | +5.2% | +1.8% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 1.66 | 1.70 | +2.3% | -2.2% | -7.3% | +7.2% | +8.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 2.39 | 2.41 | +0.8% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -4.4% | +0.1% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.03 | +0.1% | -1.0% | +1.4% | -4.5% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 1.93 | 1.95 | +1.1% | -5.0% | -4.0% | -0.8% | +5.1% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | 1.53 | 1.67 | +9.3% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +3.8% | +4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.