OMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 4.4% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 1.9% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -1.3% | 5.8% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 2.66 | 2.65 | -0.4% | -3.0% | -4.2% | -1.1% | +6.4% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.1% | +0.1% | -0.9% | +0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 2.94 | 2.59 | -11.8% | +6.2% | +15.4% | +4.7% | -7.3% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.1% | -0.3% | +3.2% | -7.4% | -12.0% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.05 | +0.8% | +1.7% | +4.6% | +5.2% | +1.8% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 1.66 | 1.70 | +2.3% | -2.2% | -7.3% | +7.2% | +8.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 2.39 | 2.41 | +0.8% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -4.4% | +0.1% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.03 | +0.1% | -1.0% | +1.4% | -4.5% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 1.93 | 1.95 | +1.1% | -5.0% | -4.0% | -0.8% | +5.1% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | 1.53 | 1.67 | +9.3% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +3.8% | +4.5% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.16 | 2.20 | +1.8% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -0.6% | +6.2% |
| 2023-10-17 beat | 1.85 | 1.86 | +0.5% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2023-07-18 miss | 1.81 | 1.81 | -0.1% | -9.4% | -10.4% | -5.5% | -10.4% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 1.39 | 1.56 | +12.0% | -0.2% | -4.1% | -1.8% | +2.2% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 1.99 | 2.09 | +5.0% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +0.4% | -5.8% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 1.71 | 1.77 | +3.7% | +2.5% | -1.3% | +4.4% | +11.4% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 1.56 | 1.68 | +7.8% | +1.9% | +3.9% | -1.5% | +4.5% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 1.33 | 1.39 | +4.2% | +6.4% | +4.5% | -7.0% | -11.3% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.71 | 2.11 | +23.4% | +13.2% | +14.2% | -4.2% | -15.4% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 1.37 | 1.65 | +20.4% | -3.9% | -2.3% | -7.6% | -9.4% |
| 2021-07-20 miss | 1.37 | 1.34 | -2.3% | +1.6% | -4.3% | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 1.12 | 1.33 | +18.5% | +0.9% | -0.6% | +3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 1.62 | 1.90 | +17.6% | +1.4% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +14.5% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.04 | 1.21 | +16.4% | +3.4% | -4.7% | +2.5% | +31.4% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +2.1% | -7.0% | -4.1% | -2.8% | -1.8% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 1.15 | 1.19 | +3.9% | +0.3% | +4.0% | -4.0% | -2.4% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 1.85 | 1.89 | +2.1% | +3.2% | +0.4% | +1.7% | -26.8% |
| 2019-10-15 beat | 1.30 | 1.32 | +1.2% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 1.60 | 1.68 | +5.3% | -0.2% | -2.9% | -1.1% | -7.2% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 1.10 | 1.17 | +6.6% | +2.7% | +5.7% | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 1.66 | 1.77 | +6.7% | +2.9% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +2.1% |
| 2018-10-16 beat | 1.20 | 1.24 | +3.0% | +6.2% | +7.0% | +2.2% | +2.9% |
| 2018-07-17 beat | 1.54 | 1.60 | +3.8% | -5.2% | -9.5% | -4.4% | -3.6% |
| 2018-04-17 beat | 1.06 | 1.14 | +7.9% | +1.6% | +1.2% | -2.1% | -0.1% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.7% | -5.0% | -6.6% | +0.0% | -4.8% |
| 2017-10-17 beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +3.2% | +3.4% | +2.2% | -6.2% | -11.2% |
| 2017-07-20 beat | 1.38 | 1.40 | +1.6% | -1.8% | +2.4% | -4.6% | -7.2% |
| 2017-04-18 beat | 0.96 | 1.02 | +6.1% | -1.7% | -3.1% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2017-02-07 beat | 1.44 | 1.47 | +2.2% | -3.0% | -3.6% | +0.9% | +0.9% |
| 2016-10-18 beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +2.0% | -2.8% | -2.4% | -1.0% | +5.0% |
| 2016-07-14 beat | 1.33 | 1.36 | +2.3% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -1.6% | +1.4% |
| 2016-04-19 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.3% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -1.8% |
| 2016-02-09 beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.4% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +5.4% | +8.3% |
| 2015-10-20 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +1.9% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +3.5% | +0.7% |
| 2015-07-21 beat | 1.20 | 1.26 | +5.2% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 0.82 | 0.83 | +1.4% | -0.2% | -1.6% | -0.4% | +1.2% |
| 2015-02-10 beat | 1.26 | 1.30 | +3.4% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +2.8% | +3.3% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +5.3% | +3.7% | +2.6% | +1.4% | +8.5% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 1.17 | 1.20 | +2.9% | +0.7% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2014-04-22 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +2.3% | -0.1% | -2.3% | -4.6% | -2.0% |
| 2014-02-11 beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +1.6% | +2.5% | -1.6% | +3.4% | -1.0% |
| 2013-10-15 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.1% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +7.4% |
| 2013-07-18 beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.8% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -6.6% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.1% | -0.2% | -2.1% | +4.0% | +9.1% |
| 2013-02-12 beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +3.0% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +6.3% |
| 2012-10-16 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.4% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -4.9% | -9.5% |
| 2012-07-17 beat | 1.02 | 1.02 | +0.1% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -2.9% | +3.4% |
| 2012-04-17 beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +5.1% | +0.4% | -1.1% | +2.4% | +3.5% |
| 2012-02-14 beat | 0.95 | 0.96 | +0.7% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2011-10-18 beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.3% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +1.8% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.