OMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -1.1% | 6.3% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 2.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -1.1% | 1.8% | 25% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -2.8% | 7.9% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 2.66 | 2.65 | -0.4% | -3.0% | -4.2% | -1.1% | +6.4% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.1% | +0.1% | -0.9% | +0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 2.94 | 2.59 | -11.8% | +6.2% | +15.4% | +4.7% | -7.3% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.1% | -0.3% | +3.2% | -7.4% | -12.0% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.05 | +0.8% | +1.7% | +4.6% | +5.2% | +1.8% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 1.66 | 1.70 | +2.3% | -2.2% | -7.3% | +7.2% | +8.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 2.39 | 2.41 | +0.8% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -4.4% | +0.1% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 2.03 | 2.03 | +0.1% | -1.0% | +1.4% | -4.5% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 1.93 | 1.95 | +1.1% | -5.0% | -4.0% | -0.8% | +5.1% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | 1.53 | 1.67 | +9.3% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +3.8% | +4.5% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.16 | 2.20 | +1.8% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -0.6% | +6.2% |
| 2023-10-17 beat | 1.85 | 1.86 | +0.5% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2023-07-18 miss | 1.81 | 1.81 | -0.1% | -9.4% | -10.4% | -5.5% | -10.4% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 1.39 | 1.56 | +12.0% | -0.2% | -4.1% | -1.8% | +2.2% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 1.99 | 2.09 | +5.0% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +0.4% | -5.8% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 1.71 | 1.77 | +3.7% | +2.5% | -1.3% | +4.4% | +11.4% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 1.56 | 1.68 | +7.8% | +1.9% | +3.9% | -1.5% | +4.5% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 1.33 | 1.39 | +4.2% | +6.4% | +4.5% | -7.0% | -11.3% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.71 | 2.11 | +23.4% | +13.2% | +14.2% | -4.2% | -15.4% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 1.37 | 1.65 | +20.4% | -3.9% | -2.3% | -7.6% | -9.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.