PBF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -2.0% | 7.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.1% | 3.5% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +1.9% | 4.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | -2.1% | -4.2% | 8.2% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.12 | 6.22 | +51.1% | +2.6% | +15.4% | -16.2% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.90 | -0.88 | +1.7% | -8.0% | +0.5% | -6.4% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -0.11 | 0.49 | +550.0% | +2.0% | -5.9% | +2.1% | +29.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.75 | -0.52 | +30.9% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +6.6% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -1.21 | -1.03 | +15.1% | -4.6% | -8.2% | -1.3% | +20.9% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -3.29 | -3.09 | +6.2% | +3.5% | -3.0% | +16.0% | +11.0% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -2.78 | -2.82 | -1.5% | -4.5% | -12.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -1.30 | -1.50 | -15.8% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +7.2% | +14.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.01 | -0.54 | -3756.1% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -4.1% | -13.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.85 | +24.4% | +2.1% | +0.8% | -5.2% | -13.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.