PBF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 4.6% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.2% | 4.4% | 62% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.9% | 4.1% | 58% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +3.0% | 10.2% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.12 | 6.22 | +51.1% | +2.6% | +15.4% | -16.2% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.90 | -0.88 | +1.7% | -8.0% | +0.5% | -6.4% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -0.11 | 0.49 | +550.0% | +2.0% | -5.9% | +2.1% | +29.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.75 | -0.52 | +30.9% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +6.6% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -1.21 | -1.03 | +15.1% | -4.6% | -8.2% | -1.3% | +20.9% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -3.29 | -3.09 | +6.2% | +3.5% | -3.0% | +16.0% | +11.0% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -2.78 | -2.82 | -1.5% | -4.5% | -12.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -1.30 | -1.50 | -15.8% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +7.2% | +14.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.01 | -0.54 | -3756.1% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -4.1% | -13.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.85 | +24.4% | +2.1% | +0.8% | -5.2% | -13.7% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.06 | -0.41 | -740.8% | -5.2% | -2.3% | -7.3% | +9.3% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 4.87 | 6.61 | +35.7% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -10.8% | -7.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.24 | 2.29 | +2.4% | -5.1% | -4.2% | +6.9% | +8.1% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 2.60 | 2.76 | +6.3% | +5.0% | +1.8% | +9.9% | +20.4% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 4.96 | 4.41 | -11.1% | +6.7% | +7.6% | -3.1% | -6.3% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 6.58 | 7.96 | +20.9% | +2.7% | +3.6% | -0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 7.81 | 10.58 | +35.4% | +2.7% | +0.8% | -6.7% | +17.0% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -1.1% | +0.2% | +10.0% | +4.6% | +9.5% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 0.64 | 1.28 | +100.0% | -1.1% | -4.9% | -3.4% | +21.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | -0.03 | 0.12 | +481.3% | +2.7% | +3.9% | -8.1% | -18.6% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | -1.46 | -1.26 | +13.6% | +3.5% | -1.5% | -0.9% | +16.9% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | -2.59 | -2.61 | -0.7% | +3.4% | +0.8% | +11.7% | +11.9% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | -3.55 | -4.53 | -27.5% | -4.4% | +2.2% | +38.7% | +87.1% |
| 2020-10-29 miss | -2.67 | -2.87 | -7.3% | -4.0% | +3.3% | +20.6% | +64.6% |
| 2020-07-31 miss | -2.96 | -3.19 | -7.7% | +1.1% | +4.0% | +6.1% | -1.4% |
| 2020-05-15 miss | -1.11 | -1.19 | -7.2% | -1.1% | -1.9% | +15.1% | +41.0% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.48 | 0.60 | +24.1% | +0.4% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -62.9% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.1% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -1.1% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.87 | 0.83 | -4.2% | -3.3% | -10.1% | -8.3% | -5.7% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | -0.96 | -1.18 | -22.6% | -1.2% | -0.1% | -8.4% | -21.3% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 0.77 | 1.03 | +32.9% | +0.2% | -3.1% | -2.4% | -4.2% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 1.03 | 1.13 | +10.1% | -0.6% | +3.0% | +3.8% | -7.6% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 1.35 | 1.38 | +2.5% | +2.3% | +2.5% | +6.6% | +10.2% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | -0.21 | -0.29 | -38.0% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +6.2% | +29.9% |
| 2018-02-15 miss | 0.21 | -0.04 | -118.7% | +0.8% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 1.24 | 1.44 | +15.9% | +0.2% | +2.6% | +0.5% | +6.1% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | 0.06 | -0.06 | -201.8% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -6.7% | +7.6% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | -0.48 | -0.20 | +58.2% | +0.8% | -5.4% | +9.1% | -0.1% |
| 2017-02-16 miss | -0.51 | -0.71 | -40.1% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -0.4% | -9.6% |
| 2016-10-28 miss | -0.08 | -0.16 | -96.0% | +1.7% | +2.5% | +4.9% | +17.4% |
| 2016-07-29 miss | 0.27 | 0.14 | -48.4% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +2.6% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | -0.48 | -0.65 | -36.0% | -2.2% | -5.1% | -12.1% | -20.4% |
| 2016-02-11 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.8% | -1.8% | +0.0% | -5.3% | +9.8% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 1.55 | 1.85 | +19.2% | +2.2% | +4.6% | +4.4% | +20.9% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.96 | 0.88 | -8.0% | +0.2% | -0.6% | +6.8% | -1.1% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +8.7% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -4.2% | -6.8% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 0.85 | 1.13 | +32.5% | +2.0% | +5.2% | +3.3% | +3.0% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 1.03 | 1.60 | +55.0% | +7.1% | +2.4% | +3.0% | +13.6% |
| 2014-08-01 miss | 0.65 | 0.35 | -46.5% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -1.8% | +4.8% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 0.98 | 1.44 | +46.4% | +3.0% | +5.7% | +1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2014-02-13 beat | 0.56 | 0.76 | +34.9% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +3.8% | +4.8% |
| 2013-10-31 miss | -0.12 | -0.48 | -290.2% | -0.6% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +11.0% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 0.79 | 0.73 | -7.1% | +1.7% | -1.7% | +6.8% | -2.4% |
| 2013-05-02 miss | 1.10 | 0.48 | -56.5% | -6.2% | -5.8% | +13.1% | +2.4% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 1.37 | 1.70 | +24.2% | +2.0% | -0.2% | +9.4% | +6.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.