PBF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 6.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | -1.2% | 3.7% | 25% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.0% | 3.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | -4.2% | 8.5% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.12 | 6.22 | +51.1% | +2.6% | +15.4% | -16.2% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.90 | -0.88 | +1.7% | -8.0% | +0.5% | -6.4% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -0.11 | 0.49 | +550.0% | +2.0% | -5.9% | +2.1% | +29.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.75 | -0.52 | +30.9% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +6.6% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -1.21 | -1.03 | +15.1% | -4.6% | -8.2% | -1.3% | +20.9% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -3.29 | -3.09 | +6.2% | +3.5% | -3.0% | +16.0% | +11.0% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -2.78 | -2.82 | -1.5% | -4.5% | -12.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -1.30 | -1.50 | -15.8% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +7.2% | +14.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.01 | -0.54 | -3756.1% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -4.1% | -13.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.85 | +24.4% | +2.1% | +0.8% | -5.2% | -13.7% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.06 | -0.41 | -740.8% | -5.2% | -2.3% | -7.3% | +9.3% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 4.87 | 6.61 | +35.7% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -10.8% | -7.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.24 | 2.29 | +2.4% | -5.1% | -4.2% | +6.9% | +8.1% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 2.60 | 2.76 | +6.3% | +5.0% | +1.8% | +9.9% | +20.4% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 4.96 | 4.41 | -11.1% | +6.7% | +7.6% | -3.1% | -6.3% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 6.58 | 7.96 | +20.9% | +2.7% | +3.6% | -0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 7.81 | 10.58 | +35.4% | +2.7% | +0.8% | -6.7% | +17.0% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -1.1% | +0.2% | +10.0% | +4.6% | +9.5% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 0.64 | 1.28 | +100.0% | -1.1% | -4.9% | -3.4% | +21.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | -0.03 | 0.12 | +481.3% | +2.7% | +3.9% | -8.1% | -18.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.