PEGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.3% | +6.6% | 16.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 3.7% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.8% | +1.1% | 3.1% | 80% |
| 5-day | +5.6% | +7.5% | 16.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 miss | 0.43 | 0.35 | -19.4% | -18.2% | -16.0% | +19.1% | +29.3% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.69 | 0.46 | -33.6% | +4.3% | -4.6% | -4.8% | -8.6% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.5% | -9.2% | -11.9% | +18.0% | +11.9% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +50.1% | +9.8% | +15.0% | -3.4% | -20.1% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +18.2% | +0.6% | +13.9% | +3.1% | -11.9% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 0.25 | 0.77 | +208.9% | +28.7% | +28.8% | +4.0% | +12.3% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +8.9% | -5.9% | -19.6% | -8.7% | -14.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +16.2% | +11.9% | +14.7% | -0.7% | +14.5% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.15 | 0.26 | +79.2% | +7.2% | +12.8% | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.3% | -4.9% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.