PEGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +1.1% | 13.1% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 2.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.7% | 2.4% | 67% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +0.0% | 12.9% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 miss | 0.43 | 0.35 | -19.4% | -18.2% | -16.0% | +19.1% | +29.3% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.69 | 0.46 | -33.6% | +4.3% | -4.6% | -4.8% | -8.6% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.5% | -9.2% | -11.9% | +18.0% | +11.9% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +50.1% | +9.8% | +15.0% | -3.4% | -20.1% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +18.2% | +0.6% | +13.9% | +3.1% | -11.9% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 0.25 | 0.77 | +208.9% | +28.7% | +28.8% | +4.0% | +12.3% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +8.9% | -5.9% | -19.6% | -8.7% | -14.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +16.2% | +11.9% | +14.7% | -0.7% | +14.5% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.15 | 0.26 | +79.2% | +7.2% | +12.8% | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.3% | -4.9% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.50 | 0.89 | +77.6% | +20.5% | +35.7% | -7.4% | -8.3% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | — | 0.22 | +7592.3% | +6.4% | +7.2% | +9.6% | +26.8% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -75.5% | -1.9% | -10.6% | -1.4% | -2.6% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.19 | 0.12 | -38.5% | +0.8% | +3.5% | -7.4% | +4.0% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 0.08 | 0.41 | +446.0% | +11.1% | +18.0% | -8.7% | -8.2% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -18.5% | +7.2% | +9.7% | -9.1% | -1.2% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.02 | -0.19 | -928.6% | -19.4% | -15.4% | -3.8% | -9.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.13 | 0.30 | +126.2% | +6.2% | +6.9% | -10.5% | -35.3% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -53.0% | -11.9% | -15.6% | +3.0% | -4.0% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | -0.13 | -0.20 | -53.7% | -3.0% | -4.9% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | -0.09 | 0.12 | +227.5% | +0.7% | -7.0% | +0.1% | +8.4% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +185.7% | +4.0% | -1.3% | -6.7% | -7.0% |
| 2021-02-17 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -18.6% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -8.7% | -18.6% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | -0.03 | -0.16 | -399.6% | -3.5% | -1.3% | +4.2% | +10.3% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -26.0% | +1.1% | +9.8% | +1.4% | +11.6% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | — | 0.03 | +600.3% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +7.8% | +15.0% |
| 2020-02-12 miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -48.9% | +1.3% | +7.6% | +1.4% | -35.5% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | -0.04 | -0.11 | -213.6% | -3.0% | -5.9% | +3.6% | +4.9% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | -0.05 | -0.15 | -224.3% | +2.7% | +5.1% | -4.2% | -2.1% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.06 | -0.06 | -197.3% | -1.7% | -3.3% | -0.4% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.