PEGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.7% | +2.6% | 11.9% | 62% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 52% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +1.2% | 12.1% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 miss | 0.43 | 0.35 | -19.4% | -18.2% | -16.0% | +19.1% | +29.3% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.69 | 0.46 | -33.6% | +4.3% | -4.6% | -4.8% | -8.6% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.5% | -9.2% | -11.9% | +18.0% | +11.9% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +50.1% | +9.8% | +15.0% | -3.4% | -20.1% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +18.2% | +0.6% | +13.9% | +3.1% | -11.9% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 0.25 | 0.77 | +208.9% | +28.7% | +28.8% | +4.0% | +12.3% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +8.9% | -5.9% | -19.6% | -8.7% | -14.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +16.2% | +11.9% | +14.7% | -0.7% | +14.5% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.15 | 0.26 | +79.2% | +7.2% | +12.8% | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.3% | -4.9% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.50 | 0.89 | +77.6% | +20.5% | +35.7% | -7.4% | -8.3% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | — | 0.22 | +7592.3% | +6.4% | +7.2% | +9.6% | +26.8% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -75.5% | -1.9% | -10.6% | -1.4% | -2.6% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.19 | 0.12 | -38.5% | +0.8% | +3.5% | -7.4% | +4.0% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 0.08 | 0.41 | +446.0% | +11.1% | +18.0% | -8.7% | -8.2% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -18.5% | +7.2% | +9.7% | -9.1% | -1.2% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.02 | -0.19 | -928.6% | -19.4% | -15.4% | -3.8% | -9.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.13 | 0.30 | +126.2% | +6.2% | +6.9% | -10.5% | -35.3% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -53.0% | -11.9% | -15.6% | +3.0% | -4.0% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | -0.13 | -0.20 | -53.7% | -3.0% | -4.9% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | -0.09 | 0.12 | +227.5% | +0.7% | -7.0% | +0.1% | +8.4% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +185.7% | +4.0% | -1.3% | -6.7% | -7.0% |
| 2021-02-17 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -18.6% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -8.7% | -18.6% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | -0.03 | -0.16 | -399.6% | -3.5% | -1.3% | +4.2% | +10.3% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -26.0% | +1.1% | +9.8% | +1.4% | +11.6% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | — | 0.03 | +600.3% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +7.8% | +15.0% |
| 2020-02-12 miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -48.9% | +1.3% | +7.6% | +1.4% | -35.5% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | -0.04 | -0.11 | -213.6% | -3.0% | -5.9% | +3.6% | +4.9% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | -0.05 | -0.15 | -224.3% | +2.7% | +5.1% | -4.2% | -2.1% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.06 | -0.06 | -197.3% | -1.7% | -3.3% | -0.4% | +0.1% |
| 2019-02-20 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +13.9% | +4.2% | +7.5% | +2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2018-11-07 miss | 0.06 | 0.02 | -63.6% | +3.0% | -0.1% | -3.5% | -9.8% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 0.10 | — | -100.0% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +9.0% |
| 2018-05-10 miss | 0.15 | 0.12 | -22.1% | -2.0% | +2.9% | -5.4% | -4.1% |
| 2018-02-26 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +92.9% | +5.7% | +4.8% | +2.4% | -1.8% |
| 2017-11-08 miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -71.0% | -12.6% | -6.0% | +1.0% | -4.1% |
| 2017-08-09 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -11.8% | -5.6% | -10.8% | +5.2% | +8.7% |
| 2017-05-10 beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +67.7% | +16.6% | +10.4% | +6.6% | +14.1% |
| 2017-02-23 miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -46.3% | +1.1% | +8.4% | +1.8% | -3.1% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +8.5% | +5.9% | +12.9% | -0.9% | +4.8% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +28.8% | -9.8% | -5.2% | -2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +33.3% | +5.6% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +7.6% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.7% | +7.1% | +7.5% | +2.7% | +0.5% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +9.7% | +2.1% | +9.6% | +6.2% | +3.6% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +51.4% | +7.3% | +15.2% | -0.7% | -8.5% |
| 2015-05-06 miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -23.5% | +4.1% | +2.3% | -0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2015-02-26 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +8.2% | -11.4% | -14.5% | +0.8% | +10.3% |
| 2014-11-04 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -28.3% | -8.8% | -11.1% | +6.7% | +12.5% |
| 2014-08-05 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -25.9% | +3.2% | +10.0% | -2.3% | -4.3% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +20.0% | +6.3% | +13.4% | -2.9% | +15.5% |
| 2014-02-25 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +29.8% | +8.3% | -10.2% | +3.9% | -13.9% |
| 2013-11-12 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +91.3% | +17.2% | +19.7% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +30.9% | +0.1% | +2.9% | -4.7% | -1.7% |
| 2013-05-06 beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +58.4% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +14.8% | +22.2% |
| 2013-02-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +99.0% | +16.8% | +1.5% | +6.5% | +11.5% |
| 2012-11-08 miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -31.6% | -4.9% | +8.2% | -11.0% | +0.5% |
| 2012-08-09 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -28.0% | -16.7% | +3.1% | +1.6% | +2.1% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +62.3% | -7.8% | -8.6% | -2.8% | -6.4% |
| 2012-02-29 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +190.9% | +12.1% | +31.0% | +0.5% | +3.8% |
| 2011-11-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -43.6% | -19.7% | -21.2% | +1.7% | +9.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.