PH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.5% | +3.8% | 4.6% | 80% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 1.3% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.4% | 1.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +6.0% | +6.1% | 5.6% | 90% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 8.27 | 9.27 | +12.2% | +7.9% | +7.3% | -1.0% | -10.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 7.83 | 8.17 | +4.4% | -5.4% | -4.0% | -2.5% | -9.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 7.17 | 7.65 | +6.8% | +2.2% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +6.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 6.62 | 7.22 | +9.0% | +7.1% | +7.8% | +0.9% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 7.08 | 7.69 | +8.6% | +4.6% | +4.0% | +2.8% | +4.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 6.72 | 6.94 | +3.3% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +5.1% | +8.2% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 6.23 | 6.53 | +4.9% | +3.5% | +5.7% | -1.7% | -7.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 6.14 | 6.20 | +0.9% | -0.9% | +1.6% | +8.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 6.22 | 6.77 | +8.8% | +9.3% | +10.8% | +4.0% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 6.11 | 6.51 | +6.5% | -3.3% | -2.3% | +5.7% | -3.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.