PH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.0% | +2.9% | 4.5% | 75% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 1.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.8% | +6.1% | 6.3% | 85% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 8.27 | 9.27 | +12.2% | +7.9% | +7.3% | -1.0% | -10.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 7.83 | 8.17 | +4.4% | -5.4% | -4.0% | -2.5% | -9.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 7.17 | 7.65 | +6.8% | +2.2% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +6.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 6.62 | 7.22 | +9.0% | +7.1% | +7.8% | +0.9% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 7.08 | 7.69 | +8.6% | +4.6% | +4.0% | +2.8% | +4.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 6.72 | 6.94 | +3.3% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +5.1% | +8.2% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 6.23 | 6.53 | +4.9% | +3.5% | +5.7% | -1.7% | -7.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 6.14 | 6.20 | +0.9% | -0.9% | +1.6% | +8.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 6.22 | 6.77 | +8.8% | +9.3% | +10.8% | +4.0% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 6.11 | 6.51 | +6.5% | -3.3% | -2.3% | +5.7% | -3.3% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 5.26 | 6.15 | +16.9% | +6.0% | +7.7% | +3.1% | +7.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 5.31 | 5.96 | +12.1% | +7.0% | +9.2% | +2.0% | +8.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 5.49 | 6.08 | +10.8% | +3.5% | +3.0% | -1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 5.02 | 5.93 | +18.2% | +4.6% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +4.7% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 4.46 | 4.76 | +6.8% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +4.2% | +6.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 4.18 | 4.74 | +13.3% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +6.0% | +2.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 4.70 | 5.16 | +9.8% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -9.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 4.65 | 4.83 | +3.8% | -7.0% | -5.0% | -5.7% | +0.6% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 3.93 | 4.46 | +13.6% | +5.4% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -12.7% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 3.70 | 4.26 | +15.3% | +5.2% | +7.1% | +0.4% | -4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.