PH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +0.9% | 4.3% | 58% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 52% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +2.2% | 6.4% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 8.27 | 9.27 | +12.2% | +7.9% | +7.3% | -1.0% | -10.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 7.83 | 8.17 | +4.4% | -5.4% | -4.0% | -2.5% | -9.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 7.17 | 7.65 | +6.8% | +2.2% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +6.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 6.62 | 7.22 | +9.0% | +7.1% | +7.8% | +0.9% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 7.08 | 7.69 | +8.6% | +4.6% | +4.0% | +2.8% | +4.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 6.72 | 6.94 | +3.3% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +5.1% | +8.2% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 6.23 | 6.53 | +4.9% | +3.5% | +5.7% | -1.7% | -7.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 6.14 | 6.20 | +0.9% | -0.9% | +1.6% | +8.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 6.22 | 6.77 | +8.8% | +9.3% | +10.8% | +4.0% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 6.11 | 6.51 | +6.5% | -3.3% | -2.3% | +5.7% | -3.3% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 5.26 | 6.15 | +16.9% | +6.0% | +7.7% | +3.1% | +7.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 5.31 | 5.96 | +12.1% | +7.0% | +9.2% | +2.0% | +8.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 5.49 | 6.08 | +10.8% | +3.5% | +3.0% | -1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 5.02 | 5.93 | +18.2% | +4.6% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +4.7% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 4.46 | 4.76 | +6.8% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +4.2% | +6.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 4.18 | 4.74 | +13.3% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +6.0% | +2.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 4.70 | 5.16 | +9.8% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -9.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 4.65 | 4.83 | +3.8% | -7.0% | -5.0% | -5.7% | +0.6% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 3.93 | 4.46 | +13.6% | +5.4% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -12.7% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 3.70 | 4.26 | +15.3% | +5.2% | +7.1% | +0.4% | -4.3% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 4.33 | 4.38 | +1.1% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -3.4% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 3.73 | 4.11 | +10.3% | -0.4% | -1.6% | +0.7% | -1.8% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 2.58 | 3.44 | +33.5% | +6.1% | -0.8% | +1.5% | +11.1% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 2.27 | 3.07 | +35.3% | +4.9% | +9.2% | +7.9% | +14.1% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 1.49 | 2.55 | +70.6% | +0.2% | +4.0% | +7.7% | +7.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 2.26 | 2.92 | +29.1% | +0.7% | +0.8% | -1.3% | +15.7% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 2.27 | 2.54 | +12.0% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +2.3% | -6.1% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 2.66 | 2.76 | +3.6% | -2.6% | -5.4% | +8.6% | +7.6% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 3.11 | 3.31 | +6.3% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -3.1% | -4.1% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 3.01 | 3.17 | +5.3% | -3.6% | -2.2% | -2.4% | -11.3% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 2.42 | 2.51 | +3.9% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.5% | +5.9% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 2.53 | 2.84 | +12.2% | +0.2% | +5.1% | +7.3% | +9.9% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 2.91 | 3.22 | +10.7% | -4.4% | +3.6% | -0.3% | +2.3% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 2.63 | 2.80 | +6.5% | -1.8% | -3.4% | +3.6% | +9.0% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 2.07 | 2.15 | +4.0% | -2.8% | -3.9% | -9.8% | -8.5% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 2.04 | 2.24 | +10.0% | +1.2% | +2.8% | -2.6% | -0.7% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 2.31 | 2.45 | +6.1% | -1.5% | +0.6% | -5.8% | -1.5% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 1.86 | 2.11 | +13.6% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -1.4% | -1.7% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 1.39 | 1.70 | +22.2% | +2.4% | +3.0% | -0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2016-10-21 beat | 1.57 | 1.61 | +2.7% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +11.4% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 1.76 | 1.90 | +7.9% | +3.8% | +4.6% | +3.9% | +3.8% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 1.45 | 1.51 | +4.4% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | 1.18 | 1.52 | +28.9% | +6.0% | +4.1% | +3.9% | +10.7% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | 1.46 | 1.52 | +4.2% | -4.3% | -1.0% | +3.7% | +2.9% |
| 2015-08-04 miss | 1.88 | 1.43 | -23.8% | -1.1% | -4.0% | +4.3% | -1.2% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 1.99 | 2.06 | +3.5% | -4.7% | -3.7% | +1.6% | +1.7% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 1.55 | 1.84 | +18.7% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 1.67 | 1.89 | +13.3% | +4.8% | +4.9% | +2.8% | +7.1% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 2.10 | 2.07 | -1.3% | -2.9% | -4.8% | +3.3% | +7.8% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 1.64 | 1.88 | +14.7% | +1.8% | +2.6% | -2.0% | -0.9% |
| 2014-01-22 miss | 1.25 | 1.24 | -0.7% | -2.6% | -3.5% | -6.9% | -3.8% |
| 2013-10-18 beat | 1.47 | 1.61 | +9.6% | +2.6% | +5.2% | +3.6% | +4.0% |
| 2013-08-06 miss | 1.96 | 1.78 | -9.2% | -4.7% | -3.3% | +5.3% | +1.5% |
| 2013-04-25 miss | 1.69 | 1.68 | -0.4% | +0.3% | +1.3% | -2.3% | +8.5% |
| 2013-01-18 beat | 1.14 | 1.19 | +4.0% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2012-10-19 miss | 1.73 | 1.57 | -9.3% | -8.2% | -7.7% | -1.2% | +2.0% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | 1.91 | 1.96 | +2.7% | -2.5% | -3.3% | +4.1% | +1.4% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 1.72 | 2.01 | +17.0% | +3.2% | +8.7% | -0.4% | -3.6% |
| 2012-01-20 miss | 1.62 | 1.56 | -3.9% | -4.4% | -4.1% | +0.0% | +10.4% |
| 2011-10-18 beat | 1.69 | 1.91 | +13.1% | +4.3% | +6.1% | +0.5% | +7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.