PHM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +1.7% | 5.3% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 55% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +2.9% | 7.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 2.36 | 2.48 | +5.3% | +3.0% | +2.0% | +4.4% | +0.7% |
| 2026-04-23 miss | 1.81 | 1.79 | -1.1% | -2.0% | +2.4% | -6.3% | -10.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.81 | 2.88 | +2.6% | +0.8% | +3.2% | +5.3% | +5.1% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.89 | 2.96 | +2.5% | -6.0% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -7.7% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 2.97 | 3.03 | +2.1% | +8.4% | +11.5% | -3.4% | +4.4% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 2.42 | 2.57 | +6.0% | +3.1% | +8.4% | +0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 3.27 | 4.43 | +35.5% | +3.0% | +4.9% | -7.2% | -13.9% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 3.18 | 3.35 | +5.5% | -3.9% | -7.2% | -3.2% | -4.3% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 3.27 | 3.58 | +9.3% | -3.9% | +0.0% | +6.0% | +2.3% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 2.36 | 3.10 | +31.2% | -0.7% | +4.6% | -1.2% | +1.3% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 3.23 | 3.52 | +9.0% | +1.7% | -0.5% | -2.8% | +2.7% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 2.82 | 2.90 | +2.9% | -1.9% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +22.7% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.54 | 3.00 | +18.0% | -0.9% | +6.2% | +1.4% | -4.5% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.82 | 2.35 | +29.3% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +1.3% | +1.2% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 2.92 | 3.85 | +31.7% | +8.1% | +9.4% | +2.1% | -4.6% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 2.81 | 2.69 | -4.1% | +0.0% | +4.2% | +0.6% | +13.0% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 2.63 | 2.73 | +3.8% | +1.1% | -4.3% | -2.6% | -1.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.73 | 1.83 | +5.6% | +2.1% | +4.5% | -0.5% | +5.0% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 2.30 | 2.51 | +9.1% | +2.7% | +0.9% | -5.7% | -7.4% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.79 | 1.82 | +1.6% | -1.0% | -2.4% | -1.8% | +8.2% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.73 | 1.90 | +10.1% | -2.6% | +0.1% | +3.7% | +1.6% |
| 2021-04-27 miss | 1.20 | 1.13 | -5.9% | +2.9% | +4.3% | +6.6% | +0.8% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 1.40 | 1.49 | +6.8% | -7.2% | -5.7% | +5.7% | +2.0% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 1.15 | 1.34 | +16.6% | -2.5% | -5.7% | -2.9% | +2.4% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.89 | 1.29 | +45.6% | +6.3% | +4.7% | +6.2% | +15.0% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.7% | -3.1% | -0.8% | +18.4% | +39.5% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.10 | 1.14 | +3.5% | +2.3% | +5.7% | -5.9% | -10.9% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 0.92 | 1.01 | +9.8% | +1.0% | +3.2% | -1.1% | +0.5% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +4.9% | -4.1% | -8.3% | +4.6% | +7.2% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 0.47 | 0.59 | +24.9% | +1.8% | +3.7% | +0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +1.1% | -5.1% | +0.8% | +0.4% | -0.9% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.2% | -0.9% | +7.3% | +11.2% | +14.6% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.74 | 0.89 | +19.7% | -1.7% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.59 | +30.2% | +4.8% | +2.9% | +4.1% | +1.2% |
| 2018-01-30 miss | 0.85 | 0.26 | -69.5% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -7.8% | -12.2% |
| 2017-10-24 miss | 0.59 | 0.58 | -1.4% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +5.4% | +14.5% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +5.1% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +1.4% | +1.6% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.5% | -4.0% | -3.8% | +0.5% | +4.0% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +14.0% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +0.4% | +4.3% |
| 2016-10-20 miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.6% | -2.0% | -3.4% | -5.3% | -1.9% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +15.2% | +3.0% | +5.3% | +1.0% | -1.5% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.8% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -3.2% | -5.6% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +15.3% | +2.8% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +4.9% |
| 2015-10-22 miss | 0.42 | 0.30 | -29.0% | -4.8% | -6.6% | -1.1% | +5.7% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +6.9% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 0.20 | 0.15 | -25.8% | -5.4% | -7.9% | -3.4% | -1.1% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +6.3% | +1.5% | +6.0% | -1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.3% | +0.9% | +1.7% | -2.1% | +11.1% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.5% | -0.2% | -3.0% | -8.3% | -0.8% |
| 2014-04-24 miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -12.6% | +4.0% | +2.3% | -2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.45 | 0.57 | +27.5% | +4.5% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +5.3% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +24.8% | +3.5% | +7.0% | -1.1% | +2.1% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 0.30 | 0.09 | -70.3% | -7.4% | -10.3% | +1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +35.3% | +0.3% | +5.6% | +5.5% | +9.3% |
| 2013-01-31 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.2% | -3.9% | -1.5% | -6.5% | -4.9% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +33.7% | +1.1% | -2.5% | +4.9% | -0.1% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +119.8% | +6.4% | +18.4% | -2.4% | +13.9% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +24.3% | +5.4% | +10.1% | +5.0% | -2.6% |
| 2012-02-02 miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -39.9% | -2.4% | -1.0% | +17.0% | +8.8% |
| 2011-10-27 miss | -0.02 | -0.34 | -2147.2% | +9.9% | +9.7% | +2.2% | +2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.