POST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 6.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.5% | -1.9% | 1.5% | 10% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.4% | 2.2% | 80% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.1% | 5.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.71 | 1.78 | +4.3% | -5.3% | -12.8% | +2.9% | +4.7% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.75 | 1.94 | +10.9% | -6.3% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -10.3% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.67 | 2.13 | +27.7% | +5.4% | +9.8% | -2.4% | -9.2% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 1.88 | 2.09 | +11.4% | -2.3% | -7.2% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.65 | 2.03 | +22.8% | +1.9% | +4.9% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 1.21 | 1.41 | +16.7% | -1.7% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.51 | 1.73 | +14.4% | +4.1% | +6.3% | -1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 1.22 | 1.53 | +25.2% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +9.1% | +8.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.22 | 1.54 | +26.5% | +0.4% | +3.0% | -1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.29 | 1.51 | +17.1% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.