POST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 5.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.2% | 5.5% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.71 | 1.78 | +4.3% | -5.3% | -12.8% | +2.9% | +4.7% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.75 | 1.94 | +10.9% | -6.3% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -10.3% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.67 | 2.13 | +27.7% | +5.4% | +9.8% | -2.4% | -9.2% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 1.88 | 2.09 | +11.4% | -2.3% | -7.2% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.65 | 2.03 | +22.8% | +1.9% | +4.9% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 1.21 | 1.41 | +16.7% | -1.7% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.51 | 1.73 | +14.4% | +4.1% | +6.3% | -1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 1.22 | 1.53 | +25.2% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +9.1% | +8.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.22 | 1.54 | +26.5% | +0.4% | +3.0% | -1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.29 | 1.51 | +17.1% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.10 | 1.69 | +53.4% | +5.6% | +7.7% | +3.7% | +2.2% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 1.38 | 1.63 | +18.1% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +3.5% | +5.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.93 | 1.52 | +62.7% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +1.0% | -0.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.81 | 1.10 | +35.1% | +2.5% | +0.7% | -1.7% | -5.7% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.62 | 1.08 | +73.4% | +2.0% | +1.4% | -3.8% | -6.3% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 0.70 | 0.85 | +20.8% | +2.7% | -0.7% | +4.2% | +1.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.55 | 0.69 | +26.4% | -1.0% | +2.7% | -1.1% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.0% | +1.2% | +7.0% | -1.5% | +2.2% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.41 | 0.29 | -29.0% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +2.4% | -5.7% |
| 2021-11-18 miss | 0.94 | 0.44 | -53.2% | +1.5% | -3.7% | -0.7% | +4.4% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.93 | 0.93 | -0.2% | +7.8% | +8.5% | +6.0% | -0.1% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.55 | 0.29 | -47.5% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.9% | +2.7% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +5.7% |
| 2020-11-19 miss | 0.77 | 0.58 | -24.5% | -3.8% | -6.4% | +4.3% | +9.0% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +10.4% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.89 | 0.65 | -27.3% | -2.1% | +3.9% | -5.3% | +4.6% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | 1.13 | 0.76 | -32.9% | -3.2% | -3.2% | +4.7% | -7.3% |
| 2019-11-21 beat | 1.05 | 1.39 | +32.9% | +8.7% | -1.7% | +5.1% | +8.2% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 1.25 | 1.19 | -4.7% | -1.5% | -3.9% | -4.7% | -0.5% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.15 | 1.28 | +11.2% | -1.3% | -6.0% | +4.9% | +2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.