POST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.7% | 5.5% | 56% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 2.6% | 54% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 42% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.3% | 7.0% | 61% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.71 | 1.78 | +4.3% | -5.3% | -12.8% | +2.9% | +4.7% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.75 | 1.94 | +10.9% | -6.3% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -10.3% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.67 | 2.13 | +27.7% | +5.4% | +9.8% | -2.4% | -9.2% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 1.88 | 2.09 | +11.4% | -2.3% | -7.2% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.65 | 2.03 | +22.8% | +1.9% | +4.9% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 1.21 | 1.41 | +16.7% | -1.7% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.51 | 1.73 | +14.4% | +4.1% | +6.3% | -1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 1.22 | 1.53 | +25.2% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +9.1% | +8.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.22 | 1.54 | +26.5% | +0.4% | +3.0% | -1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.29 | 1.51 | +17.1% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.10 | 1.69 | +53.4% | +5.6% | +7.7% | +3.7% | +2.2% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 1.38 | 1.63 | +18.1% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +3.5% | +5.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.93 | 1.52 | +62.7% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +1.0% | -0.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.81 | 1.10 | +35.1% | +2.5% | +0.7% | -1.7% | -5.7% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.62 | 1.08 | +73.4% | +2.0% | +1.4% | -3.8% | -6.3% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 0.70 | 0.85 | +20.8% | +2.7% | -0.7% | +4.2% | +1.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.55 | 0.69 | +26.4% | -1.0% | +2.7% | -1.1% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.0% | +1.2% | +7.0% | -1.5% | +2.2% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.41 | 0.29 | -29.0% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +2.4% | -5.7% |
| 2021-11-18 miss | 0.94 | 0.44 | -53.2% | +1.5% | -3.7% | -0.7% | +4.4% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.93 | 0.93 | -0.2% | +7.8% | +8.5% | +6.0% | -0.1% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.55 | 0.29 | -47.5% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.9% | +2.7% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +5.7% |
| 2020-11-19 miss | 0.77 | 0.58 | -24.5% | -3.8% | -6.4% | +4.3% | +9.0% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +10.4% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.89 | 0.65 | -27.3% | -2.1% | +3.9% | -5.3% | +4.6% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | 1.13 | 0.76 | -32.9% | -3.2% | -3.2% | +4.7% | -7.3% |
| 2019-11-21 beat | 1.05 | 1.39 | +32.9% | +8.7% | -1.7% | +5.1% | +8.2% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 1.25 | 1.19 | -4.7% | -1.5% | -3.9% | -4.7% | -0.5% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.15 | 1.28 | +11.2% | -1.3% | -6.0% | +4.9% | +2.3% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 0.97 | 1.11 | +14.6% | +7.3% | +4.5% | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| 2018-11-15 miss | 1.19 | 1.08 | -9.6% | +1.9% | +5.6% | -3.6% | -6.3% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 1.14 | 1.06 | -6.8% | +0.7% | +8.0% | -0.4% | +3.9% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 1.06 | 1.06 | +0.4% | -1.7% | +1.8% | -2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +8.5% | +2.7% | -4.3% | -3.6% | +8.7% |
| 2017-11-16 miss | 0.93 | 0.88 | -5.3% | -0.9% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -3.8% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.6% | +2.5% | +2.9% | -1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2017-05-08 miss | 0.59 | 0.55 | -6.8% | -4.4% | -5.5% | +3.9% | +7.4% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +12.6% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2016-11-17 beat | 0.44 | 0.61 | +40.1% | +0.2% | -3.2% | +6.1% | +8.0% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.48 | 0.62 | +28.7% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -2.2% | +1.2% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.87 | +112.5% | +8.8% | +5.1% | +0.4% | +2.7% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.52 | +51.7% | +4.6% | +11.1% | +3.0% | +10.6% |
| 2015-11-23 miss | 0.26 | 0.06 | -76.7% | +0.1% | +6.6% | +4.6% | -3.5% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | 0.07 | 0.27 | +287.7% | +8.1% | +12.4% | +14.1% | +14.6% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 0.10 | 0.87 | +759.5% | +0.4% | +10.2% | -12.2% | -11.2% |
| 2015-02-05 miss | -0.13 | -1.15 | -807.9% | -3.0% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| 2014-11-24 beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +79.3% | -4.0% | +3.9% | +7.9% | +10.2% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | 0.26 | -0.30 | -213.9% | -18.3% | -15.9% | +1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | 0.19 | -0.21 | -212.2% | -1.8% | -7.8% | -2.2% | +7.3% |
| 2014-02-06 miss | 0.16 | 0.02 | -87.1% | -3.4% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +2.6% |
| 2013-11-20 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +23.1% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +8.4% | +5.4% |
| 2013-08-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.4% | +0.0% | +1.0% | -5.2% | -8.2% |
| 2013-05-13 miss | 0.27 | 0.19 | -29.6% | -1.8% | -5.7% | -1.2% | +1.2% |
| 2013-02-07 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +43.1% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +2.8% | +5.2% |
| 2012-11-28 | 0.35 | 0.35 | — | -0.6% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2012-08-09 beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.6% | -0.3% | -2.4% | -3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2012-05-24 miss | 0.47 | 0.39 | -17.0% | -0.3% | +6.2% | -1.2% | +6.8% |
| 2012-03-08 beat | 0.32 | 0.44 | +37.5% | -0.5% | +2.5% | -0.1% | +2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.