RARE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -2.7% | 6.8% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.2% | 3.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -0.4% | 6.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | -1.00 | -0.90 | +9.7% | +10.3% | -3.4% | +7.7% | -40.4% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | -1.46 | -1.54 | -5.7% | +3.6% | +3.7% | +2.0% | -15.5% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | -1.17 | -1.29 | -10.1% | -8.3% | -12.7% | +9.7% | +5.3% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -1.21 | -1.81 | -49.7% | -11.0% | -1.8% | +5.2% | +14.2% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | -1.32 | -1.17 | +11.4% | -1.5% | -3.0% | +3.3% | +13.4% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -1.64 | -1.57 | +4.4% | +1.7% | -4.7% | +3.9% | +11.2% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -1.27 | -1.39 | -9.4% | +2.3% | -2.4% | -1.5% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | -1.47 | -1.40 | +5.0% | +0.7% | -3.2% | -3.6% | -2.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -1.63 | -1.52 | +6.9% | +6.9% | +14.3% | -0.9% | +10.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -1.72 | -2.03 | -18.0% | +3.9% | -1.0% | -4.3% | -4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.