RARE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -2.5% | 6.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.3% | 4.2% | 33% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.6% | 2.6% | 57% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -2.0% | 8.6% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | -1.00 | -0.90 | +9.7% | +10.3% | -3.4% | +7.7% | -40.4% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | -1.46 | -1.54 | -5.7% | +3.6% | +3.7% | +2.0% | -15.5% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | -1.17 | -1.29 | -10.1% | -8.3% | -12.7% | +9.7% | +5.3% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -1.21 | -1.81 | -49.7% | -11.0% | -1.8% | +5.2% | +14.2% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | -1.32 | -1.17 | +11.4% | -1.5% | -3.0% | +3.3% | +13.4% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -1.64 | -1.57 | +4.4% | +1.7% | -4.7% | +3.9% | +11.2% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -1.27 | -1.39 | -9.4% | +2.3% | -2.4% | -1.5% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | -1.47 | -1.40 | +5.0% | +0.7% | -3.2% | -3.6% | -2.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -1.63 | -1.52 | +6.9% | +6.9% | +14.3% | -0.9% | +10.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -1.72 | -2.03 | -18.0% | +3.9% | -1.0% | -4.3% | -4.3% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | -1.61 | -1.52 | +5.7% | +1.6% | +5.8% | +2.7% | -3.9% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -2.01 | -2.23 | -10.7% | +0.5% | +6.1% | -10.1% | +8.2% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -2.02 | -2.25 | -11.6% | -0.5% | -8.8% | -3.6% | +1.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -1.61 | -2.33 | -44.5% | -4.0% | +3.1% | -0.3% | +9.0% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | -1.80 | -2.19 | -21.4% | +7.5% | +10.0% | -10.8% | -21.3% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | -2.40 | -3.48 | -44.8% | +0.2% | -6.0% | -1.5% | +4.3% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | -1.64 | -2.12 | -29.2% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +4.4% | -7.8% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | -1.78 | -2.06 | -15.9% | -4.4% | -13.4% | -10.5% | -7.5% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | -1.19 | -1.55 | -30.4% | +10.0% | +2.1% | -8.5% | -12.6% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | -1.10 | -1.45 | -32.5% | +2.7% | +1.4% | -6.8% | -11.6% |
| 2021-08-02 miss | -1.05 | -1.35 | -28.6% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +9.6% | +19.0% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | -1.29 | -1.72 | -33.8% | +0.0% | +4.1% | +0.4% | -13.0% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | -1.14 | -1.59 | -39.4% | -4.3% | -7.7% | -3.7% | -14.0% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | -1.06 | -0.94 | +11.3% | -5.0% | -2.5% | +19.5% | +28.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -1.72 | -1.14 | +33.9% | +6.1% | +0.7% | +8.5% | +8.8% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | -1.68 | -2.04 | -21.8% | +4.0% | -4.7% | +2.6% | +12.0% |
| 2020-02-13 miss | -1.53 | -1.62 | -5.6% | +0.2% | -2.8% | -6.7% | -38.7% |
| 2019-11-05 miss | -1.55 | -2.00 | -28.5% | -1.4% | -5.9% | -0.6% | +14.6% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | -1.59 | -1.90 | -19.0% | -3.9% | -7.9% | +9.6% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | -1.67 | -1.82 | -9.2% | -3.5% | -7.0% | +0.6% | -8.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.