RGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.4% | 6.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.9% | -1.2% | 2.0% | 0% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.1% | 1.6% | 80% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +3.2% | 7.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 6.49 | 8.89 | +37.0% | +4.4% | +4.2% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 6.01 | 6.97 | +15.9% | +0.9% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 5.75 | 7.75 | +34.8% | +7.0% | +9.4% | -2.5% | -8.2% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 5.77 | 4.66 | -19.2% | -2.6% | -3.5% | +4.4% | +5.6% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 5.55 | 4.72 | -15.0% | -8.5% | -7.9% | +5.1% | +9.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 5.34 | 5.66 | +6.0% | +9.1% | +5.8% | +3.6% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 5.26 | 4.99 | -5.2% | -7.1% | -9.6% | -4.1% | -10.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 5.34 | 6.13 | +14.7% | -1.2% | +1.9% | +4.2% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 5.09 | 5.48 | +7.6% | +0.0% | -7.5% | -1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 4.57 | 6.02 | +31.8% | +2.2% | +5.5% | +3.5% | +2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.