RGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 5.0% | 52% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 3.2% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 58% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.3% | 6.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 6.49 | 8.89 | +37.0% | +4.4% | +4.2% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 6.01 | 6.97 | +15.9% | +0.9% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 5.75 | 7.75 | +34.8% | +7.0% | +9.4% | -2.5% | -8.2% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 5.77 | 4.66 | -19.2% | -2.6% | -3.5% | +4.4% | +5.6% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 5.55 | 4.72 | -15.0% | -8.5% | -7.9% | +5.1% | +9.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 5.34 | 5.66 | +6.0% | +9.1% | +5.8% | +3.6% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 5.26 | 4.99 | -5.2% | -7.1% | -9.6% | -4.1% | -10.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 5.34 | 6.13 | +14.7% | -1.2% | +1.9% | +4.2% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 5.09 | 5.48 | +7.6% | +0.0% | -7.5% | -1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 4.57 | 6.02 | +31.8% | +2.2% | +5.5% | +3.5% | +2.2% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 4.46 | 4.73 | +6.0% | -0.4% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +6.8% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 4.28 | 5.57 | +30.1% | +4.1% | +2.2% | +6.7% | +7.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 4.14 | 4.40 | +6.2% | +0.1% | -1.4% | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 3.35 | 5.16 | +54.2% | +6.7% | +7.8% | +1.8% | -2.1% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 3.73 | 2.99 | -19.8% | -3.7% | -3.1% | +6.7% | +0.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 3.00 | 5.20 | +73.6% | +3.3% | +2.8% | -7.3% | +2.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 2.76 | 5.78 | +109.7% | +5.3% | +8.7% | +6.7% | +1.1% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.48 | 0.47 | +197.9% | +2.9% | +7.7% | -0.7% | +7.1% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.79 | -0.56 | -171.0% | -5.0% | +1.0% | +1.5% | -10.8% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 2.46 | -1.11 | -145.1% | -6.5% | -7.6% | +1.4% | -6.4% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.96 | 4.00 | +103.9% | +3.3% | +5.0% | +3.6% | +1.0% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | -0.33 | -1.24 | -271.1% | -3.8% | -6.1% | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2021-02-08 beat | 1.02 | 1.19 | +17.1% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +4.0% | +13.5% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 1.77 | 3.51 | +98.0% | +2.0% | +0.5% | +7.0% | +12.7% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -0.85 | 1.36 | +259.2% | +7.4% | +11.9% | +0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 2.37 | 1.41 | -40.4% | -5.4% | -12.7% | -6.3% | +14.7% |
| 2020-01-28 miss | 3.66 | 3.43 | -6.3% | -7.1% | -5.4% | +4.7% | -16.5% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 3.50 | 4.02 | +14.7% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +3.6% | +1.0% |
| 2019-07-29 miss | 3.42 | 3.31 | -3.2% | -5.1% | -3.9% | -3.1% | -2.2% |
| 2019-04-29 miss | 2.62 | 2.61 | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -2.1% |
| 2019-01-28 miss | 3.46 | 3.46 | -0.1% | -3.1% | -4.9% | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 3.27 | 4.03 | +23.1% | +3.6% | +4.3% | +5.1% | +7.4% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 3.11 | 3.10 | -0.4% | -1.1% | -2.9% | +3.9% | +5.3% |
| 2018-04-26 miss | 2.44 | 1.61 | -34.0% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -4.8% |
| 2018-01-29 miss | 2.84 | 2.60 | -8.6% | -3.2% | +0.2% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 2.63 | 3.44 | +30.9% | +2.2% | +5.1% | -1.3% | +6.3% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 2.48 | 2.95 | +19.0% | +0.9% | +3.7% | +0.5% | -3.4% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | 2.14 | 1.86 | -12.9% | -3.9% | -3.5% | +1.5% | -0.2% |
| 2017-01-30 beat | 2.53 | 2.63 | +4.1% | +3.9% | +0.4% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 2.37 | 2.46 | +3.6% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -0.1% | +11.5% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 2.29 | 2.80 | +22.2% | -1.5% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +6.6% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 1.96 | 1.85 | -5.5% | -4.4% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 2.58 | 2.84 | +9.9% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +0.0% | +10.1% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 2.24 | 1.90 | -15.2% | -1.1% | -6.9% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2015-07-23 miss | 2.18 | 1.94 | -10.9% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -11.1% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 1.84 | 1.77 | -3.6% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2015-02-02 beat | 2.11 | 2.99 | +41.4% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +2.4% | +4.6% |
| 2014-10-27 beat | 2.07 | 2.31 | +11.6% | +3.7% | +2.0% | +2.7% | +4.2% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 1.97 | 2.23 | +13.4% | +1.4% | +1.1% | -1.8% | +0.9% |
| 2014-04-24 miss | 1.73 | 1.61 | -6.8% | -5.2% | -4.2% | +1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 1.96 | 2.17 | +10.5% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -3.5% | +3.5% |
| 2013-10-28 beat | 1.84 | 2.14 | +16.5% | +0.8% | +2.2% | -2.3% | +3.9% |
| 2013-07-18 miss | 1.83 | -0.99 | -154.1% | -7.9% | -7.3% | +0.5% | -4.9% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 1.61 | 1.65 | +2.4% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +5.3% |
| 2013-01-31 beat | 1.79 | 2.44 | +36.0% | +5.0% | +2.2% | +0.4% | -0.3% |
| 2012-10-17 miss | 1.83 | 1.35 | -26.4% | -7.8% | -10.8% | -1.3% | -7.5% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 1.75 | 1.65 | -5.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% | +0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2012-04-30 miss | 1.53 | 1.52 | -0.7% | -4.5% | -1.0% | -4.8% | -12.8% |
| 2012-01-30 beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +3.9% | +0.0% | -2.6% | +4.2% | +5.0% |
| 2011-10-24 beat | 1.87 | 2.04 | +8.9% | -1.3% | -3.6% | -3.5% | -5.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.