RGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.4% | 6.0% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 1.5% | 75% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +3.0% | 7.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 6.49 | 8.89 | +37.0% | +4.4% | +4.2% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 6.01 | 6.97 | +15.9% | +0.9% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -3.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 5.75 | 7.75 | +34.8% | +7.0% | +9.4% | -2.5% | -8.2% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 5.77 | 4.66 | -19.2% | -2.6% | -3.5% | +4.4% | +5.6% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 5.55 | 4.72 | -15.0% | -8.5% | -7.9% | +5.1% | +9.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 5.34 | 5.66 | +6.0% | +9.1% | +5.8% | +3.6% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 5.26 | 4.99 | -5.2% | -7.1% | -9.6% | -4.1% | -10.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 5.34 | 6.13 | +14.7% | -1.2% | +1.9% | +4.2% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 5.09 | 5.48 | +7.6% | +0.0% | -7.5% | -1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 4.57 | 6.02 | +31.8% | +2.2% | +5.5% | +3.5% | +2.2% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 4.46 | 4.73 | +6.0% | -0.4% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +6.8% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 4.28 | 5.57 | +30.1% | +4.1% | +2.2% | +6.7% | +7.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 4.14 | 4.40 | +6.2% | +0.1% | -1.4% | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 3.35 | 5.16 | +54.2% | +6.7% | +7.8% | +1.8% | -2.1% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 3.73 | 2.99 | -19.8% | -3.7% | -3.1% | +6.7% | +0.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 3.00 | 5.20 | +73.6% | +3.3% | +2.8% | -7.3% | +2.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 2.76 | 5.78 | +109.7% | +5.3% | +8.7% | +6.7% | +1.1% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.48 | 0.47 | +197.9% | +2.9% | +7.7% | -0.7% | +7.1% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.79 | -0.56 | -171.0% | -5.0% | +1.0% | +1.5% | -10.8% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 2.46 | -1.11 | -145.1% | -6.5% | -7.6% | +1.4% | -6.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.