SABR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 18.6% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -1.5% | -0.9% | 6.5% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -2.8% | -1.6% | 4.5% | 35% |
| 5-day | -5.1% | -8.7% | 22.5% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.07 | -0.17 | -142.9% | -5.0% | +5.7% | -1.3% | -4.9% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.01 | 0.06 | +700.0% | +18.6% | +13.1% | -23.7% | -20.0% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +80.0% | +33.2% | +24.7% | -20.5% | +20.1% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 0.06 | -0.01 | -116.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -10.5% | -18.5% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | — | -0.02 | -500.6% | -26.3% | -35.7% | -5.2% | -9.8% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.01 | — | -127.0% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +22.0% | +12.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | -0.10 | -0.08 | +21.9% | +5.0% | +22.4% | -0.5% | -15.7% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -14.3% | -10.2% | -22.0% | +9.7% | +23.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +37.5% | +9.0% | -4.4% | -10.4% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +68.4% | +8.3% | +0.3% | -3.8% | +9.3% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +15.8% | -18.1% | -22.4% | -20.2% | -42.7% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.4% | +18.9% | +18.3% | -21.3% | -7.2% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.22 | -0.17 | +24.4% | +14.9% | +32.5% | +11.2% | +9.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +21.9% | +8.2% | -5.1% | -9.3% | -9.6% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | -0.30 | -0.36 | -21.8% | -12.6% | -19.4% | -8.6% | -30.2% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | -0.25 | -0.25 | -0.8% | -3.5% | -15.1% | -10.3% | +23.2% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | -0.31 | -0.25 | +19.9% | +1.1% | +8.9% | +9.1% | +5.4% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | -0.34 | -0.29 | +14.7% | -1.4% | -11.4% | -18.6% | -16.3% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | -0.37 | -0.47 | -27.7% | +7.4% | +21.9% | +1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | -0.55 | -0.50 | +8.8% | +2.4% | -16.6% | +12.5% | -7.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.