SABR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 13.0% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.6% | 7.4% | 39% |
| Day 3 | -1.2% | -0.3% | 4.1% | 43% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | -2.7% | 17.5% | 41% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.07 | -0.17 | -142.9% | -5.0% | +5.7% | -1.3% | -4.9% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.01 | 0.06 | +700.0% | +18.6% | +13.1% | -23.7% | -20.0% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +80.0% | +33.2% | +24.7% | -20.5% | +20.1% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 0.06 | -0.01 | -116.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -10.5% | -18.5% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | — | -0.02 | -500.6% | -26.3% | -35.7% | -5.2% | -9.8% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.01 | — | -127.0% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +22.0% | +12.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | -0.10 | -0.08 | +21.9% | +5.0% | +22.4% | -0.5% | -15.7% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -14.3% | -10.2% | -22.0% | +9.7% | +23.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +37.5% | +9.0% | -4.4% | -10.4% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +68.4% | +8.3% | +0.3% | -3.8% | +9.3% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +15.8% | -18.1% | -22.4% | -20.2% | -42.7% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.4% | +18.9% | +18.3% | -21.3% | -7.2% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.22 | -0.17 | +24.4% | +14.9% | +32.5% | +11.2% | +9.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +21.9% | +8.2% | -5.1% | -9.3% | -9.6% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | -0.30 | -0.36 | -21.8% | -12.6% | -19.4% | -8.6% | -30.2% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | -0.25 | -0.25 | -0.8% | -3.5% | -15.1% | -10.3% | +23.2% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | -0.31 | -0.25 | +19.9% | +1.1% | +8.9% | +9.1% | +5.4% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | -0.34 | -0.29 | +14.7% | -1.4% | -11.4% | -18.6% | -16.3% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | -0.37 | -0.47 | -27.7% | +7.4% | +21.9% | +1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | -0.55 | -0.50 | +8.8% | +2.4% | -16.6% | +12.5% | -7.0% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | -0.59 | -0.52 | +12.2% | +3.8% | -3.5% | +2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | -0.55 | -0.72 | -32.1% | -7.1% | -14.3% | +0.5% | +10.0% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | -0.66 | -0.77 | -17.4% | -2.5% | -2.3% | +28.2% | +45.8% |
| 2020-11-06 miss | -0.72 | -0.82 | -14.5% | -1.7% | -5.8% | +34.2% | +71.0% |
| 2020-08-07 miss | -0.84 | -1.30 | -53.9% | -7.2% | -7.8% | +5.6% | +0.2% |
| 2020-05-08 beat | -0.32 | -0.29 | +9.4% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -17.5% | +42.2% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +2.6% | -2.5% | -10.2% | -25.9% | -58.0% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +13.2% | -0.5% | +6.5% | -3.7% | -4.4% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.6% | +1.9% | +3.8% | +3.0% | -3.1% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.4% | +0.5% | -9.2% | +0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.0% | -10.4% | +1.5% | -7.7% | -9.7% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.8% | +1.7% | +6.1% | +2.4% | +7.3% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.3% | +1.0% | -5.2% | +2.6% | +6.5% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.1% | +5.1% | +14.1% | -3.7% | +4.1% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +15.1% | +1.8% | +12.8% | +8.4% | +2.7% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.8% | +3.3% | +7.8% | -2.7% | +1.8% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.1% | +3.9% | -10.5% | -4.1% | -6.7% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +20.0% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +0.1% | -7.8% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -13.9% | -9.6% | -10.5% | -1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2016-11-02 miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.9% | -12.8% | -8.7% | +0.9% | +6.2% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.3% | -9.5% | -8.3% | -0.8% | +4.8% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | +1.9% | +3.3% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2016-02-09 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.3% | -2.9% | +7.5% | +9.7% | +9.6% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.2% | +0.0% | -2.4% | -1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +11.5% | +5.8% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +0.1% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +7.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| 2015-02-18 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -0.8% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2014-11-11 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +2.4% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +7.8% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +19.2% | +5.2% | -0.3% | -1.5% | +1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.