SMG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -1.9% | 9.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.6% | 3.9% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -1.3% | 2.7% | 30% |
| 5-day | -2.1% | -2.6% | 11.5% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.52 | 2.82 | +11.7% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -6.0% | -13.8% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 4.01 | 4.53 | +12.9% | +5.1% | -4.5% | +0.7% | -5.5% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | -1.00 | -0.77 | +23.3% | -0.6% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +11.7% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | -1.98 | -1.96 | +0.8% | -2.0% | +2.9% | +4.4% | -3.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.26 | 2.59 | +14.5% | -2.5% | -8.5% | -2.6% | -1.3% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 3.93 | 3.98 | +1.3% | -2.9% | -5.9% | +6.9% | +18.2% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | -1.23 | -0.89 | +27.8% | +0.7% | -5.8% | -2.6% | -17.9% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | -1.96 | -2.31 | -17.7% | -9.1% | -20.5% | -2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.92 | 2.31 | +20.3% | +3.9% | +11.9% | -12.7% | -9.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 3.44 | 3.69 | +7.3% | +2.1% | -0.4% | -2.5% | +2.1% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | -1.47 | -1.45 | +1.3% | +8.9% | +3.7% | +0.4% | +19.0% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -2.89 | -2.77 | +4.0% | +10.0% | +18.5% | -3.3% | +10.4% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 1.46 | 1.17 | -19.7% | -16.0% | -19.0% | -9.8% | -2.1% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 3.47 | 3.78 | +9.1% | -0.9% | -7.9% | +11.9% | +4.5% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | -1.34 | -1.02 | +24.1% | -0.4% | +11.5% | -1.3% | +5.9% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | -1.99 | -2.04 | -2.5% | +1.7% | -0.4% | +16.1% | +20.7% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 1.72 | 1.98 | +14.9% | -0.2% | -6.0% | -1.6% | -23.8% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 4.81 | 5.03 | +4.6% | +2.7% | -0.1% | -7.3% | -8.8% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | -0.73 | -0.88 | -20.0% | +0.1% | -3.0% | -8.6% | -5.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.86 | -0.82 | +4.2% | +3.3% | +10.7% | +2.9% | -17.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.