SO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +1.6% | 2.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 1.1% | 30% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.3% | 3.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.01 | 1.13 | +11.8% | +1.2% | -1.8% | -1.5% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.21 | 1.32 | +8.9% | +1.1% | +3.4% | -4.4% | -7.9% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.4% | +4.9% | +4.4% | +1.4% | -1.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.51 | 1.60 | +6.0% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -4.4% | -6.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.7% | +0.0% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -2.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.19 | 1.23 | +3.0% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -1.7% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.7% | -2.3% | +1.5% | +0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.34 | 1.43 | +6.7% | +1.5% | +1.9% | -4.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.93 | 1.10 | +18.5% | +0.5% | +4.8% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.90 | 1.03 | +13.9% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +3.9% | +6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.