SO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.1% | 1.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 1.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | +0.0% | 3.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.01 | 1.13 | +11.8% | +1.2% | -1.8% | -1.5% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.21 | 1.32 | +8.9% | +1.1% | +3.4% | -4.4% | -7.9% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.4% | +4.9% | +4.4% | +1.4% | -1.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.51 | 1.60 | +6.0% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -4.4% | -6.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.7% | +0.0% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -2.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.19 | 1.23 | +3.0% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -1.7% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.7% | -2.3% | +1.5% | +0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.34 | 1.43 | +6.7% | +1.5% | +1.9% | -4.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.93 | 1.10 | +18.5% | +0.5% | +4.8% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.90 | 1.03 | +13.9% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +3.9% | +6.7% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +6.5% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.32 | 1.42 | +7.3% | -1.5% | +2.5% | -3.0% | +1.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +5.8% | +0.5% | -3.3% | +1.2% | -2.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.71 | 0.79 | +11.6% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% | -5.5% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +7.0% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -2.0% | +4.1% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.33 | 1.31 | -1.3% | +1.2% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.84 | 1.07 | +26.9% | +0.9% | +3.5% | +2.8% | +3.1% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.8% | +1.6% | +2.9% | -2.0% | +0.6% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.3% | -1.5% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +6.3% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.22 | 1.23 | +0.9% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +3.5% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +5.9% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +2.4% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.83 | 0.98 | +17.6% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +1.4% | -1.9% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.2% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -3.5% | -0.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.21 | 1.22 | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.3% | +3.4% | +2.8% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.0% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -2.4% | -5.1% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.78 | +9.4% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -4.4% | +1.7% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.27 | 0.27 | +0.5% | -1.5% | +1.7% | -9.9% | -33.6% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.14 | 1.34 | +17.2% | +0.1% | +2.8% | -1.2% | -1.0% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +10.4% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.72 | 0.70 | -2.9% | -1.9% | -1.3% | -0.6% | +1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.