TJX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.0% | 3.4% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.9% | 1.3% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 1.6% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.7% | 5.1% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 1.19 | 1.36 | +14.5% | -4.4% | -4.2% | -5.3% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.19 | +17.2% | +1.5% | +5.7% | -2.7% | +3.1% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.58 | +14.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% | +3.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +5.0% | +3.4% | +0.2% | +5.0% | +6.0% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 1.01 | 1.10 | +8.4% | +6.6% | +2.7% | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.5% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -3.0% | -4.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.17 | 1.23 | +5.5% | +2.6% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +4.2% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +1.9% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.4% | +5.8% | +6.1% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.3% | +4.5% | +3.5% | +2.2% | +9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.