TJX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.4% | 3.9% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.7% | 4.7% | 68% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 1.19 | 1.36 | +14.5% | -4.4% | -4.2% | -5.3% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.19 | +17.2% | +1.5% | +5.7% | -2.7% | +3.1% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.58 | +14.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% | +3.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +5.0% | +3.4% | +0.2% | +5.0% | +6.0% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 1.01 | 1.10 | +8.4% | +6.6% | +2.7% | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.5% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -3.0% | -4.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.17 | 1.23 | +5.5% | +2.6% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +4.2% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +1.9% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.4% | +5.8% | +6.1% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.3% | +4.5% | +3.5% | +2.2% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 1.12 | 1.22 | +9.1% | +0.4% | +0.6% | -4.6% | +0.3% |
| 2023-11-15 beat | 0.99 | 1.03 | +3.8% | -2.9% | -3.3% | +0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2023-08-16 beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +10.7% | +3.5% | +4.1% | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 2023-05-17 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.3% | +0.6% | +0.9% | -2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.89 | 0.89 | +0.2% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -0.8% | -3.7% |
| 2022-11-16 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +13.3% | -1.0% | +5.2% | +1.9% | -1.7% |
| 2022-08-17 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.4% | -1.0% | +2.8% | -6.1% | -5.7% |
| 2022-05-18 beat | 0.60 | 0.68 | +12.8% | +9.4% | +7.1% | +1.7% | -5.9% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.91 | 0.78 | -14.7% | -6.6% | -4.2% | +5.8% | -3.9% |
| 2021-11-17 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.1% | +10.5% | +5.8% | -2.8% | +0.6% |
| 2021-08-18 beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +11.8% | -0.7% | +5.6% | +3.8% | -3.5% |
| 2021-05-19 beat | 0.31 | 0.44 | +41.7% | -1.4% | -5.3% | +0.7% | -6.0% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | 0.62 | 0.45 | -27.4% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -8.9% | -6.8% |
| 2020-11-18 beat | 0.40 | 0.71 | +78.0% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +8.7% |
| 2020-08-19 miss | -0.13 | -0.18 | -34.8% | -6.0% | -5.4% | -2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2020-05-21 miss | -0.15 | -0.74 | -380.0% | +5.4% | +6.8% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +5.4% | +7.4% | +7.2% | -2.7% | -25.1% |
| 2019-11-19 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +1.8% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2019-08-20 miss | 0.62 | 0.62 | -0.0% | -2.9% | -0.1% | +3.7% | +9.6% |
| 2019-05-21 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +4.6% | +1.0% | +0.5% | -6.6% | +1.1% |
| 2019-02-27 miss | 0.68 | 0.68 | -0.4% | +0.2% | +3.7% | +0.7% | +2.9% |
| 2018-11-20 miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.1% | -6.0% | -4.4% | +2.2% | -10.4% |
| 2018-08-21 beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +11.8% | +5.3% | +4.7% | +1.1% | +2.9% |
| 2018-05-22 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +11.1% | +2.4% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +10.1% |
| 2018-02-28 beat | 0.63 | 0.69 | +8.1% | +8.5% | +6.9% | -0.1% | -1.4% |
| 2017-11-14 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.2% | -4.5% | -4.0% | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| 2017-08-15 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.6% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2017-05-16 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.6% | -4.3% | -4.1% | +0.9% | -1.7% |
| 2017-02-22 beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +2.8% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +2.8% | +2.7% |
| 2016-11-15 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -4.6% | -1.2% | -1.0% | +7.9% | +5.3% |
| 2016-08-16 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +3.6% | -3.0% | -5.8% | +0.9% | -3.8% |
| 2016-05-17 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.6% | +3.9% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2016-02-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.2% | +0.7% | +2.1% | +1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2015-11-17 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.9% | +6.1% | +3.9% | +3.4% | +3.6% |
| 2015-08-18 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.7% | +4.4% | +7.2% | -10.3% | -5.5% |
| 2015-05-19 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +3.8% | +4.0% | +2.9% | -3.9% | -2.9% |
| 2015-02-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +3.3% | -1.4% | +3.3% | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| 2014-11-18 miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.1% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +3.8% | +8.8% |
| 2014-08-19 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +0.0% | +5.3% | +8.6% | +1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2014-05-20 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -4.2% | -4.0% | -7.6% | +0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2014-02-26 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -2.3% | +0.9% | -1.1% | +2.4% | -1.5% |
| 2013-11-19 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.8% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -0.9% |
| 2013-08-20 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.5% | +4.4% | +6.9% | -2.4% | +4.6% |
| 2013-05-21 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.5% | -0.9% | +0.7% | -3.3% | -5.3% |
| 2013-02-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.7% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2012-11-13 beat | 0.31 | 0.31 | +0.2% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +1.1% |
| 2012-08-14 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +2.2% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +3.4% |
| 2012-05-15 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +1.8% | +0.4% | +6.9% | -4.4% | -0.9% |
| 2012-02-22 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.2% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +4.2% | +10.7% |
| 2011-11-15 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +0.6% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -2.8% | +2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.